PA PrimD: CNN/Time: Clinton leads by 8

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by CNN/Time on 2008-04-06

Summary:

Clinton:	49%
Obama:	41%
Other:	0%
Undecided:	10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Sam Spade]

Ah, more crappy companies trying to poll PA. 

[agcatter]

Polls seem to all show that the Clinton slide has at least been halted.

I think she'll win it by 9 or 10 in the final analysis.  But hey, what do I know about Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania.  Answer:  just enough to be dangerous.

[Wiz in Wis]

Has anyone else noticed that Obama does worse when fewer people are called. I think polling fewer than 1000 people may be undercutting his strengths among blacks and young people. But, then again, it may just be a wierd phenomena.

Also of note, Time is trumpeting this as a 6 point margin (44-38).

[Eraserhead]

It's 44-38 without "leaners" included.

[J. J.]

No slinde for Clinton, maybe a slight uptick.

[they don't love you like i love you]

No slinde for Clinton, maybe a slight uptick.

LOL. Using the same logic you used in Wisconsin I should argue Obama is making massive gains due to that SUSA poll.

[Alcon]

Has anyone else noticed that Obama does worse when fewer people are called. I think polling fewer than 1000 people may be undercutting his strengths among blacks and young people. But, then again, it may just be a wierd phenomena.

Weird coincidence, I'd think.  I don't see why blacks and young people would be more likely to be called after other people were called...

[J. J.]

No slinde for Clinton, maybe a slight uptick.

LOL. Using the same logic you used in Wisconsin I should argue Obama is making massive gains due to that SUSA poll.

Except, he have most, if not all the more recent polls showing Clinton gains or holding.  PPP had Obama at 2 now Clinton at 3, the 'bots are unchanged, the IA poll has a 7 point gain, and I'm calling it holding.

Zack the Barak hack does like to spin.

[Wiz in Wis]

Has anyone else noticed that Obama does worse when fewer people are called. I think polling fewer than 1000 people may be undercutting his strengths among blacks and young people. But, then again, it may just be a wierd phenomena.

Weird coincidence, I'd think.  I don't see why blacks and young people would be more likely to be called after other people were called...

Point well taken, my only reason for thinking this is that what crosstabs I have seen seem to indicate that in smaller samples, Clinton runs better among those demos. This could all be a moot point though. The two things that will decide the ultimate "winner" of PA are the head to heads against McCain (hurts Obama) and the number of delegates Clinton can reasonably expect to win with a 10-15% margin (hurts Clinton).