PA-Rasmussen: Obama leads McCain by 8%, Clinton leads by 9%
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  PA-Rasmussen: Obama leads McCain by 8%, Clinton leads by 9%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: PA-Rasmussen: Obama leads McCain by 8%, Clinton leads by 9%  (Read 2769 times)
TheresNoMoney
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« on: April 11, 2008, 11:40:30 AM »
« edited: April 11, 2008, 11:46:46 AM by TheresNoMoney »
While Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton continue to compete against each other in Pennsylvania’s Presidential Primary, both Democrats have opened a lead over John McCain in the Keystone State.

500 Likely Voters,  4/9/08

Obama   47%
McCain   39%

Clinton   47%
McCain   38%

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bullmoose88
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« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2008, 11:42:00 AM »
Hard to believe anyone is leading PA by 8 points.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2008, 11:44:08 AM »
Hum.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2008, 11:47:01 AM »
Well, its good news for Obama.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #4 on: April 11, 2008, 11:47:40 AM »
Very good news. I figured Obama's numbers would go way up as the primary campaign swung into gear.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #5 on: April 11, 2008, 11:48:16 AM »
I can see this thread going into lolz territory before long...
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #6 on: April 11, 2008, 11:49:41 AM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on April 11, 2008, 11:48:16 AM
I can see this thread going into lolz territory before long...


I agree.  It *may* be an accurate snapshot of PA in early-mid april 2008, its not likely to hold up by Nov.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #7 on: April 11, 2008, 11:51:09 AM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on April 11, 2008, 11:48:16 AM
I can see this thread going into lolz territory before long...

We've been hearing for a while now that Obama can't win PA.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #8 on: April 11, 2008, 11:52:58 AM »
Quote from: bullmoose88 on April 11, 2008, 11:49:41 AM
Quote from: Sam Spade on April 11, 2008, 11:48:16 AM
I can see this thread going into lolz territory before long...


I agree.  It *may* be an accurate snapshot of PA in early-mid april 2008, its not likely to hold up by Nov.

Dude, it's one poll.  Like everything else is one poll.  When combined, they make up many polls, that we can try and evaluate together and come up with a result that might be accurate for early-mid-April 2008.

The one problem with polling at this time of year in PA has been mentioned before and need not be mentioned again.  Kind of like polling Texas/Ohio in late-February.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #9 on: April 11, 2008, 11:53:23 AM »
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on April 11, 2008, 11:51:09 AM
Quote from: Sam Spade on April 11, 2008, 11:48:16 AM
I can see this thread going into lolz territory before long...

We've been hearing for a while now that Obama can't win PA.

We have?  Who said that idiocy?  Not me.
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Verily
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« Reply #10 on: April 11, 2008, 11:53:56 AM »
Quote from: bullmoose88 on April 11, 2008, 11:42:00 AM
Hard to believe anyone is leading PA by 8 points.

It's because they're both campaigning there right now. Remember the polls showing Texas was tied in the general?
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #11 on: April 11, 2008, 11:58:07 AM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on April 11, 2008, 11:52:58 AM
Quote from: bullmoose88 on April 11, 2008, 11:49:41 AM
Quote from: Sam Spade on April 11, 2008, 11:48:16 AM
I can see this thread going into lolz territory before long...


I agree.  It *may* be an accurate snapshot of PA in early-mid april 2008, its not likely to hold up by Nov.

Dude, it's one poll.  Like everything else is one poll.  When combined, they make up many polls, that we can try and evaluate together and come up with a result that might be accurate for early-mid-April 2008.

The one problem with polling at this time of year in PA has been mentioned before and need not be mentioned again.  Kind of like polling Texas/Ohio in late-February.

What he said, It is just on poll in April many things can change.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #12 on: April 11, 2008, 11:59:50 AM »
Quote from: Verily on April 11, 2008, 11:53:56 AM
Quote from: bullmoose88 on April 11, 2008, 11:42:00 AM
Hard to believe anyone is leading PA by 8 points.

It's because they're both campaigning there right now. Remember the polls showing Texas was tied in the general?

The Texas poll had Obama down by 6% or 8%, can't remember which. No poll ever showed it being tied.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #13 on: April 11, 2008, 12:01:23 PM »
« Edited: April 11, 2008, 12:03:38 PM by Wiz in Wis »
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on April 11, 2008, 11:59:50 AM
Quote from: Verily on April 11, 2008, 11:53:56 AM
Quote from: bullmoose88 on April 11, 2008, 11:42:00 AM
Hard to believe anyone is leading PA by 8 points.

It's because they're both campaigning there right now. Remember the polls showing Texas was tied in the general?

The Texas poll had Obama down by 6% or 8%, can't remember which. No poll ever showed it being tied.

Survey USA Feb 28 Obama losing by 1 - look at the polls on this site for cryin out loud
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #14 on: April 11, 2008, 12:08:58 PM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on April 11, 2008, 12:01:23 PM
Survey USA Feb 28 Obama losing by 1 - look at the polls on this site for cryin out loud

Wrong. The Feb. SurveyUSA poll had Obama losing to McCain by 8%:

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Alcon
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« Reply #15 on: April 11, 2008, 12:14:13 PM »
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on April 11, 2008, 12:08:58 PM
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on April 11, 2008, 12:01:23 PM
Survey USA Feb 28 Obama losing by 1 - look at the polls on this site for cryin out loud

Wrong. The Feb. SurveyUSA poll had Obama losing to McCain by 8%:

Link

No, that's the February 25th poll.

He's talking about the February 28th poll.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #16 on: April 11, 2008, 12:15:32 PM »
I think Obama actually leading in a PA for once out of a couple others were he was down quite a bit is good news. Call me a hack if you want....I dont give a sh!t...this news just brightened my day alittle Smiley
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #17 on: April 11, 2008, 12:16:48 PM »
I'm not worried about PA in the general, I AM worried about Ohio.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #18 on: April 11, 2008, 12:29:38 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on April 11, 2008, 11:48:16 AM
I can see this thread going into lolz territory before long...

Already there.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #19 on: April 11, 2008, 12:31:00 PM »
Quote from: Verily on April 11, 2008, 11:53:56 AM
Quote from: bullmoose88 on April 11, 2008, 11:42:00 AM
Hard to believe anyone is leading PA by 8 points.

It's because they're both campaigning there right now. Remember the polls showing Texas was tied in the general?

Well, Obama has been running ads there virtually unanswered for about two months straight.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #20 on: April 11, 2008, 01:01:05 PM »
I guess this blows the favorite Republican meme out of the water than Obama doesn't stand a chance to win Pennsylvania.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #21 on: April 11, 2008, 01:09:26 PM »
Quote from: ChrisFromNJ on April 11, 2008, 01:01:05 PM
I guess this blows the favorite Republican meme out of the water than Obama doesn't stand a chance to win Pennsylvania.

No one said he doesn't stand a chance to win there .. we've said that demographically, it doesn't match up for him and McCain is popular there. Of course he stands a chance in Pennsylvania. I've seen more from the other side claiming McCain doesn't stand a chance there.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #22 on: April 11, 2008, 01:24:47 PM »
McCain leads by 7 in OH and Obama leads by 8 in PA ... OK ... ?! Roll Eyes
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exopolitician
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« Reply #23 on: April 11, 2008, 01:44:05 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 11, 2008, 01:24:47 PM
McCain leads by 7 in OH and Obama leads by 8 in PA ... OK ... ?! Roll Eyes

When was the last OH poll done? Theres one from rasmussen that has McCain only up by 5.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #24 on: April 11, 2008, 01:52:43 PM »
Quote from: H.A.A.R.P. on April 11, 2008, 01:44:05 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 11, 2008, 01:24:47 PM
McCain leads by 7 in OH and Obama leads by 8 in PA ... OK ... ?! Roll Eyes

When was the last OH poll done? Theres one from rasmussen that has McCain only up by 5.

This Rasmussen OH poll was done on April 8, the PA poll on April 9. McCain leads Clinton by 5, Obama by 7.
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