Well they were stupid enough to blame 06 on not being conservative enough so they probably would.
There is nothing stupid about this being the reason for defeat. The 1994 victory was because people were promised conservative legislation and conservative ideals, the 2006 defeat was for the most part because the Republicans stopped acting on these ideals. For the most part, it is a lot of the voters from 1994. If people want sex scandals, big government, and immoral values they can just vote Democrat.
So republicans and conservatives came out to the polls in 06 as a similar % as they did in 04 & voted GOP at a similar % as they did in 04, and moderates and Independents vote heavily Democratic. They keep the base, lose the middle because they weren't conservative enough??? Hmm....
they kept the base and lost the moderate only because
everyone else hates Bush, and that happened to drag down many republicans with him. Even I voted for a Democratic governor, senator, and representative that year. When Bush leaves office, he will no longer be the direct bain of people's dissatisfaction.