NC PrimD: Public Policy Polling: Clinton with absolutely no chance against Obama

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: North Carolina President by Public Policy Polling on 2008-04-20

Summary:

Obama:	57%
Clinton:	32%
Other:	0%
Undecided:	11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Alcon]

If this is true...ouuuuuuuuch.

PPP does seem to be rather Obama-biased lately, though.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Don't editorialise. 57-32 tells the more than enough of a story in its own right.

[Verily]

FWIW, North Carolina is PPP's state. I'd expect them to know what they're doing here more than anywhere else.

[Josh/Devilman88]

He almost has the same amount of support with white voters has Clinton does.

[Alcon]

Internals:

- Obama +27 among Democrats, +13 among unaffiliated voters
- Obama +17 among women, +36 among men
- Clinton +5 among whites; Obama +73 among blacks, +30 among other races
- Obama leads all age groups: +42 among under-30s, +25 among over-45s, and +24 inbetween
- Obama leads Iraq voters (+45), education (+38), economy (+22), health care (+11), moral values (+1) and other (+55)
- Clinton leads taxes and immigration strongly (probably small samples)

Area codes:

252 (Rocky Mount): Obama +31
336 (Greensboro): Obama +24
704 (Western inc. Charlotte): Obama +30
828 (Metro Charlotte): Clinton +5
910 (Fayetteville): Obama +28
919 (Raleigh): Obama +36

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I think my point about this being the decisive state might be more clear now...

[Tender Branson]

I think my point about this being the decisive state might be more clear now...

More likely Indiana. If he keeps her below 10% tomorrow, wins NC about VA/MD-style and somehow wins IN MO-like, I think the end is near for Clinton ...

[Angel of Death]

PPP kind of has a credibility problem as of late. See here.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I think my point about this being the decisive state might be more clear now...

More likely Indiana. If he keeps her below 10% tomorrow, wins NC about VA/MD-style and somehow wins IN MO-like, I think the end is near for Clinton ...

I don't think he'll win Indiana though. The demographics are even worse than Ohio. But if he destroys her this badly in NC, IN won't matter.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

When did Obama buy out PPP?  They've been the ONLY company to have him leading PA.  She've averaging about 7 ahead of him, so that's a net of 10%.  If we factor this into NC, he's only leading by 15% (still a lot), but it'll get more competitive.

[Josh/Devilman88]

When did Obama buy out PPP?  They've been the ONLY company to have him leading PA.  She've averaging about 7 ahead of him, so that's a net of 10%.  If we factor this into NC, he's only leading by 15% (still a lot), but it'll get more competitive.

I don't think it will get more competitive, I think it will get less competitve. Clinton will be lucky if she get 35% of the vote.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

When did Obama buy out PPP?  They've been the ONLY company to have him leading PA.  She've averaging about 7 ahead of him, so that's a net of 10%.  If we factor this into NC, he's only leading by 15% (still a lot), but it'll get more competitive.

I don't think it will get more competitive, I think it will get less competitve. Clinton will be lucky if she get 35% of the vote.

What's your reasoning, just curious?

[Josh/Devilman88]

When did Obama buy out PPP?  They've been the ONLY company to have him leading PA.  She've averaging about 7 ahead of him, so that's a net of 10%.  If we factor this into NC, he's only leading by 15% (still a lot), but it'll get more competitive.

I don't think it will get more competitive, I think it will get less competitve. Clinton will be lucky if she get 35% of the vote.

What's your reasoning, just curious?

When was the last time she got out of the 30s in a poll?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

In a non-ARG poll, back during all that Wright nonsense. Nothing since then that isn't ARG.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I'm surprised Hillary wins Charlotte but loses the Triad area. I would've thought Winston Salem would be strongly for Hillary.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

When did Obama buy out PPP?  They've been the ONLY company to have him leading PA.  She've averaging about 7 ahead of him, so that's a net of 10%.  If we factor this into NC, he's only leading by 15% (still a lot), but it'll get more competitive.

I don't think it will get more competitive, I think it will get less competitve. Clinton will be lucky if she get 35% of the vote.

What's your reasoning, just curious?

When was the last time she got out of the 30s in a poll?

By that same argument, Obama won't do much better than 44% tomorrow - giving Clinton a large boost going into NC.

[J. J.]

I think I'll wait to see if Obama wins PA by +4.

[J. J.]

Now, PPP was off by 14 points in PA. 

[Eraserhead]

Now, PPP was off by 14 points in PA. 

13 points actually.... and they'll have to be off by a lot more than that for Clinton to have a shot here.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Please note that NC is PPP's home state.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Please note that NC is PPP's home state.

So, they'll be even more Obama biased?  Just throwing that possibility out there.