IN SurveyUSA: Hillary leading by 12

[they don't love you like i love you]

...

[ChrisFromNJ]

...

*hides*

You got me here.

[Lief 🗽]

Zogby was more accurate than SUSA.

In SUSA's defense though, the opposite happened with California and Ohio. So, it's still 2-1.

[JohnCA246]

the best thing to do is just average the polls out, and give Obama a small boost in the south

No single pollster is always accurate.  Survey was off in MO big time.

[Tender Branson]

According to SurveyUSA's report card, Public Policy Polling is the king of both IN and NC:

Indiana

North Carolina

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I wonder if a bit of a reverse Bradley effect was going on.

[Beet]

SUSA nailed the white vote. They had it 58-39 Clinton and the CNN exit poll has it 60-40 Clinton. However, SUSA had AA's at 10% of the electorate and 78-21 Obama, whereas the exit poll has them at 17% of the electorate and 89-11 Obama.

[Mr. Morden]

Here is a graphical representation of how the final polls from each pollster did in predicting the Clinton-Obama margin in the two states:

http://www.nationaljournal.com/njonline/mp_20080507_8254.php



"Poblano" is the model used to predict the outcomes by blogger Poblano.  It doesn't use any actual polling information.  Just demographic data.

[Beet]

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You don't seem to understand. Obama has transcended the divisions between rich and poor, white and black, and  young and old. No longer will the pundits splice and dice Americans into different groups. He's a uniter, not a divider.