Strategy for Hillary's campaign (user search)
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Author Topic: Strategy for Hillary's campaign  (Read 2676 times)
Alcon
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Posts: 30,866
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« on: May 07, 2008, 03:46:02 PM »

Wow, uh, no.

1. Downplay NC. Don't completely write it off, but talk about how Hillary battled hard, talk about race without explicitly mentioning it. "She never had a chance", "Demographics were not in our favor, what could we do?" etc.

Which is going to look stupid considering the demographics of WV & KY.  Not that she won't do that anyway, but it will still be disingenuous and eventually even her supporters will recognize that.

2. Take a media bias angle on Indiana. We WON Indiana. Obama hasn't been crowned yet, the media is eager to push her out of the race. Obama contended Indiana hard but Hillary still won. It was not as lopsided as it seemed last night.

Media bias toward Obama for Indiana?  After such a daunting media cycle for him, and the fact that the media is going out of its way to make it look like a competitive race still.  Again, disingenuous and not enough.

3. Play up West Virginia and Kentucky. While these may not be huge states, they're not exactly a pair of Vermonts either. West Virginia is 37th in terms of population, Kentucky is 26th. Talk about the importance of these voters having there voices heard.

But not North Carolina...OK.  She can try, but for the third time, disingenuous and not enough.

4. Make a visit to WV and KY to shore up your landslides(and they'd better come through), but pour everything you've got into Oregon. Last poll I saw out of there had Obama up by 4. If last night was Obama's unofficial crowning, then Oregon will be official. Throw a monkey wrench into things. BEAT HIM IN OREGON or get very very close...but she really has to win (and she will have a little bit of momentum coming out of West Virginia)

Good luck.  Last polls in Oregon had Obama up 12, 6 and 10, though.  And that was when Obama was pretty much doing his worst.  I personally think that's surprisingly good for him relative to my knowledge of the state, but still.  She's bleeding, he isn't, and she needs to recover.  How?

5. When this happens, it's media blitz time. Key words...BUYERS REMORSE. What happened to Obama, we thought he was the nominee...and yet he loses Oregon, Kentucky, and West Virginia. What does that mean, what's going on? Plant as many seeds of doubt as possible.

She's really not in much position to win Oregon unless there is another Obama scandal and she has smooth sailing.  Otherwise the states are very likely to fall just as expected.

And just continue to bloody and weaken him as the days go by. Remember, it's about 2012 now for the most part. You want McCain to win...you want McCain to have this thing neatly wrapped up by late August, you want McCain ahead in NJ, close in NY and Conn., and with sizeable leads in California, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. Let the Democratic party get nervous and start pointing fingers.

"We can't let our nominee get chosen in caucuses, by block AA voting and a small army of white, rich, college hipsters!"

Hope that it gets so bad, that huge chunks of the Democratic party start talking about replacing Obama with Hillary late in the game.

If Obama is behind in California, she'll probably have eviscerated her General chances too.  If she's this obvious, she WILL be blamed, and 2012 will be gone too.
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Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2008, 03:56:26 PM »

Obama got to do plenty of victory dances in states where he won because he was black and (unlike Sharpton) not crazy. Hillary is entitled to celebrate WV and KY.

politics can be disingenuous. Tough beans, she has to play her hand

She's going to look really bad when she argues for paying attention to West Virginia and Kentucky while ignoring North Carolina.  Besides, at this point, she needs a killer argument.  She doesn't need an uninteresting talking point that could backfire and few people care about.  That kind of thing isn't going to convince the superdelegates.  They're not that dumb.

And even if she had a killer argument, she would need an Obama explosion of epic levels, at which no one would give a flying damn about West Virginia and Kentucky.

She can play the hand she's dealt, but if it's ten-high and she can't bluff anymore, she just isn't going to win unless Obama is caught cheating or, err, shot.
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