Official West Virginia Democratic Primary Discussion Thread...
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« on: May 13, 2008, 09:29:49 AM »

I know Clinton is expected to win by 30-40 points, but we've done this for every contest date thus far, so why not create one for West Virginia.   I suspect the discussion will be little on West Virginia, and more on other logistics of the campaign, but I could be wrong.

BTW, WV polls close at 7:30 pm EDT tonight.
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politicaltipster
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« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2008, 09:36:51 AM »

Does anyone know if there is a any chance of a last minute poll?
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #2 on: May 13, 2008, 09:40:50 AM »

Does anyone know if there is a any chance of a last minute poll?

No idea.  Doubt it, though.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #3 on: May 13, 2008, 10:27:27 AM »

Clinton wins 65-35, nets 8-9 pledged delegates, meanwhile, Obama nets 8-9 superdelegates within 24 hours of the WV primary.  Clinton does some more racist whining about white voters.....

Big deal...move along. 
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Grumpier Than Uncle Joe
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« Reply #4 on: May 13, 2008, 10:49:49 AM »

Clinton wins 65-35, nets 8-9 pledged delegates, meanwhile, Obama nets 8-9 superdelegates within 24 hours of the WV primary.  Clinton does some more racist whining about white voters.....

Big deal...move along. 
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #5 on: May 13, 2008, 04:03:52 PM »

BUMP -- Can we sticky this please for the next 12 hours or so?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: May 13, 2008, 04:07:21 PM »

Here is round 1 of useless exit poll info:

link

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True Democrat
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« Reply #7 on: May 13, 2008, 04:09:34 PM »

CNN Exit Polls:

Most Important Issue:
Economy: 64
Iraq: 19
Health Care: 14

How has recession affected you:
Great Dea;: 45
Somewhat: 43
Not much: 8
Not at all: 3

Well, that's pretty much useless.
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Alcon
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« Reply #8 on: May 13, 2008, 04:13:47 PM »

West Virginia voters voting heavily on the economy?!?

Health care coming behind Iraq is a little surprising, but I imagine there's a lot of economy/health care crossover.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: May 13, 2008, 04:15:20 PM »

Well these do suggest that Clinton is headed towards a fairly large victory.... but yeah... we already kind of knew that...
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True Democrat
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« Reply #10 on: May 13, 2008, 04:17:24 PM »

Clinton Supporters:
72-24-4

Obama:
43-54-3

Good idea-Bad idea-no opinion on suspending gas tax.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: May 13, 2008, 04:26:09 PM »

Fox is running a bunch of the numbers from the exit polls. It looks like Hillary absolutely clobbered him.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #12 on: May 13, 2008, 04:27:33 PM »

That AP story has been updated with more info:

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Alcon
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« Reply #13 on: May 13, 2008, 04:29:01 PM »

Clinton voters 55-45 female
Obama voters 57-43 male

(helpfulllllllllllllll)

Edit: Atypically male electorate, isn't this?
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #14 on: May 13, 2008, 04:30:11 PM »

It also was the electorate with the highest proportion - just about seven in 10 - of people who lack a college degree thus far this primary season. The same held true for whites without a college degree - again, historically a strong Clinton group.
[/quote]

And still a lot of them are lying...
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #15 on: May 13, 2008, 04:39:57 PM »

http://thepage.time.com/

Fox News on exit polls: 78% want Clinton to stay in the race, 17% think she should drop out.
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Alcon
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« Reply #16 on: May 13, 2008, 04:41:17 PM »

Anecdotal fun indicates OBAMASLIDE from the refuse-to-give-a-name electorate:

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Torie
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« Reply #17 on: May 13, 2008, 04:50:08 PM »

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Ahah, Operation Chaos really does  exist after all, and at the locus of it all are lawyers!  Tongue
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #18 on: May 13, 2008, 04:52:21 PM »

Anecdotal fun indicates OBAMASLIDE from the refuse-to-give-a-name electorate:

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lol. West Virginia.
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Alcon
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« Reply #19 on: May 13, 2008, 04:52:38 PM »

Obama voters in November:

Clinton 51%
McCain 31%
Would not vote 14%
Other 4%

Clinton voters:

Obama 36%
McCain 35%
Would not vote 24%
Others 5%

Ooouch.
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Torie
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« Reply #20 on: May 13, 2008, 04:52:46 PM »

Clinton voters 55-45 female
Obama voters 57-43 male

(helpfulllllllllllllll)

Edit: Atypically male electorate, isn't this?

How would one deduce that?
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Alcon
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« Reply #21 on: May 13, 2008, 04:53:29 PM »


Well, that would logically be about 54% female at most, no?  It's generally closer to 60%.
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Torie
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« Reply #22 on: May 13, 2008, 04:55:01 PM »

Obama voters in November:

Clinton 51%
McCain 31%
Would not vote 14%
Other 4%

Clinton voters:

Obama 36%
McCain 35%
Would not vote 24%
Others 5%

Ooouch.

Well, Obama is in the lead for November with Clinton voters, so there, or something. 
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Torie
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« Reply #23 on: May 13, 2008, 04:58:36 PM »


Well, that would logically be about 54% female at most, no?  It's generally closer to 60%.

Yes, I see that now. There is no competing primary in a state without party registration no?
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Alcon
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« Reply #24 on: May 13, 2008, 04:59:44 PM »


Well, that would logically be about 54% female at most, no?  It's generally closer to 60%.

Yes, I see that now. There is no competing primary in a state without party registration no?

West Virginia has party registration, and there is a competing primary, although no one that is cared about.  WV is semi-open but that doesn't matter much since there are like three independents in the entire state.
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