Survey USA Pennsylvania: Obama leads McCain by 8

[ChrisFromNJ]

Date: 5/19/08

http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2008/05/20/running-mates-pennsylvania-edition/

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http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=162d4baa-59af-4ec5-9d9b-eb6e658e86c5

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[Alcon]

He leads by both 8 and 10? 

[ChrisFromNJ]

He leads by both 8 and 10? 

I think that ticket is Obama/Edwards.

[TheresNoMoney]

BUT OBAMA CAN'T WIN PENNSYLVANIA! OH NOES!!!

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Strange to see Huckabee as the strongest VP choice for Pennsylvania. I think we are seeing the Obama bump people have predicted. He's clearly the favorite right now, in my opinion.

[agcatter]

55% of the Pennsylvania electorate are Dems?

If that's the case, why bother even having an election?

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

55% of the Pennsylvania electorate are Dems?

If that's the case, why bother even having an election?

Because, according to this forum, SUSA is a Republican pollster, and these numbers are actually generous to McCain.

[Alcon]

55% of the Pennsylvania electorate are Dems?

If that's the case, why bother even having an election?

Pick your poison:

Adjusting these numbers to reflect other PA polls (48D-37R-15I-ish), we get Obama +4 or +5, depending on indies (SUSA is a good pollster but they typically get low indie rates).

Adjusting to 2006 exit poll numbers, 43D-38R-19I, it's Obama +1.

Adjusting to 2004 exit poll numbers (not gonna happen), McCain +1.

[Eraserhead]

Hell... maybe Obama/Edwards could work.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Strange to see Huckabee as the strongest VP choice for Pennsylvania. I think we are seeing the Obama bump people have predicted. He's clearly the favorite right now, in my opinion.

that's just because Huck has high name rec from his presidential run...and the Chuck Norris endorsement

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Huckabee as a socially conservative populist should be able to appeal to those lower class rural whites for whom neither McCain nor Obama were palatable but Hillary for some reason was. It's thus not entirely name recognition for Huckabee.

[Gustaf]

55% of the Pennsylvania electorate are Dems?

If that's the case, why bother even having an election?

If you just had an ecxciting primary you are gonna have more people feel Democratic. I'm really beginning to believe in the "primary effect" giving Obama/Clinton a boost against McCain in some states.