NC: Survey USA: Beverly Perdue ahead of Pat McCrory by 7

[Josh/Devilman88]

New Poll: North Carolina Governor by Survey USA on 2008-05-19

Summary: D: 52%, R: 45%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Adlai Stevenson]

I think the Democrats should be able to retain this in November, particularly if the Obama-McCain and Hagan-Dole races are close, as they appear to be. 

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I think the Democrats should be able to retain this in November, particularly if the Obama-McCain and Hagan-Dole races are close, as they appear to be. 

Uh, outside of one poll showing it tied, what makes the Presidential race in NC appear to be close? THe fact that every other poll shows McCain ahead by comfortable margins?

[Josh/Devilman88]

I think the Democrats should be able to retain this in November, particularly if the Obama-McCain and Hagan-Dole races are close, as they appear to be. 

Uh, outside of one poll showing it tied, what makes the Presidential race in NC appear to be close? THe fact that every other poll shows McCain ahead by comfortable margins?

Right now McCain has a 6% point ahead of Obama, that isn't comfortable.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I think the Democrats should be able to retain this in November, particularly if the Obama-McCain and Hagan-Dole races are close, as they appear to be. 

Uh, outside of one poll showing it tied, what makes the Presidential race in NC appear to be close? THe fact that every other poll shows McCain ahead by comfortable margins?

Right now McCain has a 6% point ahead of Obama, that isn't comfortable.

Go take a gander at the 2004 polls with Bush and Kerry. Bush was leading Kerry by about the same margin as McCain is leading Obama. Bush was averaging about +8 on election day and won by almost 13%. Most of the undecideds in NC will vote Republican. It's just the way the state is. In fact, Obama should be closer than 6-8% right now if he plans on winning the state. Just always remember to add 4% or so to the Republican on a national ballot and then you'll have your numbers.

[Adlai Stevenson]

I think the Democrats should be able to retain this in November, particularly if the Obama-McCain and Hagan-Dole races are close, as they appear to be. 

Uh, outside of one poll showing it tied, what makes the Presidential race in NC appear to be close? THe fact that every other poll shows McCain ahead by comfortable margins?

Right now McCain has a 6% point ahead of Obama, that isn't comfortable.

Go take a gander at the 2004 polls with Bush and Kerry. Bush was leading Kerry by about the same margin as McCain is leading Obama. Bush was averaging about +8 on election day and won by almost 13%. Most of the undecideds in NC will vote Republican. It's just the way the state is. In fact, Obama should be closer than 6-8% right now if he plans on winning the state. Just always remember to add 4% or so to the Republican on a national ballot and then you'll have your numbers.

I don't think Obama's going to win North Carolina, nor have I ever said it.  I do think that the Presidential race in North Carolina will be close, with Obama losing by about 47%-52%.