What will be the closest state this year?
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  What will be the closest state this year?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: By percentage, not total votes
#1
New Hampshire		  
#2
Pennsylvania		  
#3
Ohio		  
#4
Michigan		  
#5
Wisconsin		  
#6
Iowa		  
#7
Missouri		  
#8
Florida		  
#9
Virginia		  
#10
North Carolina		  
#11
New Mexico		  
#12
Arizona		  
#13
Colorado		  
#14
Nevada		  
#15
Other (please be specific)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 78

Author Topic: What will be the closest state this year?  (Read 10431 times)
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« on: May 22, 2008, 05:58:01 PM »
I'm inclined to go with New Hampshire at the moment, under 0.50%.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2008, 07:03:06 PM »
NH
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2008, 10:02:55 PM »
Yep, NH.
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Sbane
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« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2008, 10:09:26 PM »
PA. I think NH will soon become a nice leftward drift from now through november. A lot will depend on what happens of course. PA is a state divided right now, we will see how it pans out.
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cannonia
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« Reply #4 on: May 23, 2008, 07:00:39 AM »
Since I expect this to be a big year for Democrats, I'll say MO.
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user60521
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« Reply #5 on: May 23, 2008, 08:05:54 AM »
Michigan, by my estimates ( average of polls from last 6-8 weeks), is the closest state.
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user60521
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« Reply #6 on: May 23, 2008, 08:10:01 AM »
Missouri seems to be far into the republican side, about 10%.  New Hampshire I think will be somewhat close, but that's a big McCain state and I think winnable by a moderate Republican.  New Hampshire is what put McCain back into the race to begin with.  New Hampshire was also won by bush in 2000.
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Grumpier Than Uncle Joe
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« Reply #7 on: May 23, 2008, 10:48:43 AM »
PA and with the number of electoral votes it has....it's a bigger deal than NH.
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Bluegrass Cruiser 420
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« Reply #8 on: May 23, 2008, 11:28:30 AM »
Definitely NH
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JSojourner
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« Reply #9 on: May 23, 2008, 05:25:24 PM »
New Hampshire is probably the smartest and safest guess.

But you know me.  I'm gonna say Nevada. 
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Franzl
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« Reply #10 on: May 23, 2008, 07:16:49 PM »
Either Nevada or Colorado, I think
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J. J.
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« Reply #11 on: May 23, 2008, 07:22:07 PM »
Quote from: GM3 on May 23, 2008, 10:48:43 AM
PA and with the number of electoral votes it has....it's a bigger deal than NH.

By percent, it might be PA or MI.

Reminds me of the "Great Westmoreland County Recount of 1983."
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #12 on: May 23, 2008, 11:41:23 PM »
Nevada.
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opebo
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« Reply #13 on: May 24, 2008, 10:57:21 AM »
I'll be optimistic and say Virginia (yes I'm hoping for rapid economic collapse by November).
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #14 on: May 24, 2008, 11:04:46 AM »
Quote from: opebo on May 24, 2008, 10:57:21 AM
I'll be optimistic and say Virginia.

If Virginia is the closest state, then Obama wins in a landslide.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #15 on: May 24, 2008, 01:45:39 PM »
I'll go out on a limb here and say New Mexico, both because of its recent history of extremely close presidential contests, as well because both candidates play very well here.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #16 on: May 24, 2008, 01:47:27 PM »
Closest GOP wins:
NH, PA, NJ, MI

Closest Dem Wins:
OH, IA
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Ronnie
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« Reply #17 on: May 24, 2008, 02:05:29 PM »
PA, NV, OH, NM and NH.
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TomC
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« Reply #18 on: May 24, 2008, 02:08:35 PM »
Missouri
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #19 on: May 24, 2008, 08:11:08 PM »
I'm gonna say Missouri.  Most people have it as a toss-up McCain or a lean McCain state.  I actually think it is a pure toss-up with only a very, very small tilt to McCain.  Obama can easily win this state.

I can see why people would say Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico.
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Sensei
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« Reply #20 on: May 24, 2008, 11:02:03 PM »
I'm gonna say Nevada, with McCain getting a slight edge.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #21 on: May 24, 2008, 11:14:06 PM »
I can't believe so many people are saying NH.  I really don't see it being all that close in the end.  Obama takes it by at least 5 in a close race, it's just too anti-war right now for McCain to do that well. 

I'll say Ohio.  I think it's going to be extremely tight in the end, within a point. 
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Smash255
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« Reply #22 on: May 24, 2008, 11:16:40 PM »
Virginia

As far as the people suggesting NH.  I just don't see it.   It helped get McCain on track and the state has been McCain friendly, but I just don't see anyway the state is that close.  It has moved quite a bit to the left and it is an extremely anti was state.  It was the single worst state in the country for the GOP in 06 with losing the two house seats and a whole ton of state house & Senate seats, and the Senate seat is a sure pickup for the dems this year.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #23 on: May 25, 2008, 07:55:30 AM »
Quote from: Oklahoma Populist Democrat on May 24, 2008, 08:11:08 PM
I'm gonna say Missouri.  Most people have it as a toss-up McCain or a lean McCain state.  I actually think it is a pure toss-up with only a very, very small tilt to McCain.  Obama can easily win this state.

I can see why people would say Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico.
Really?  Not Oklahoma?
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War on Want
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« Reply #24 on: May 25, 2008, 11:27:06 AM »
I will say Nevada.
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