What will be the closest state this year? (user search)

Talk Elections Forum Contact | US Election Atlas Election 2024 Election Results Election Info Atlas Wiki

	Welcome, Guest. Please login or register. Did you miss your activation email? April 27, 2024, 10:55:33 AM

News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

Talk Elections

Election Archive

2008 Elections

2008 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign

What will be the closest state this year? (search mode)

Pages: [1]

Poll

Question:

By percentage, not total votes

#1 New Hampshire		10 (12.7%)
#2 Pennsylvania		6 (7.6%)
#3 Ohio		10 (12.7%)
#4 Michigan		3 (3.8%)
#5 Wisconsin		1 (1.3%)
#6 Iowa		1 (1.3%)
#7 Missouri		9 (11.4%)
#8 Florida		1 (1.3%)
#9 Virginia		9 (11.4%)
#10 North Carolina		2 (2.5%)
#11 New Mexico		6 (7.6%)
#12 Arizona		1 (1.3%)
#13 Colorado		4 (5.1%)
#14 Nevada		15 (19%)
#15 Other (please be specific)		1 (1.3%)

Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 78

Author

Topic: What will be the closest state this year? (Read 10455 times)

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution

Posts: 58,181

Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Re: What will be the closest state this year?

« on: May 27, 2008, 12:23:14 AM »

Ohio, Colorado, then Nevada - followed by Virginia and Missouri. NH will be 3-5% for Obama.

Logged

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution

Posts: 58,181

Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Re: What will be the closest state this year?

« Reply #1 on: August 15, 2008, 07:27:05 AM »

Quote from: KuntaKinte on August 15, 2008, 07:08:45 AM

What about Louisiana?

I'm sure the black vote will rise in November significantly, so it couldn't LA be pretty close, too? At least Clinton carried Louisiana by 12 pionts in 1996.

That's ridiculous. Obama will struggle to get 20% of the White Vote in LA. Allthough he will get 95% of African-Americans, their share will be no higher than 32%, with 30% most likely. That means, in the best case scenario, 44-45% in LA will vote for Obama.

Logged

Pages: [1]

Jump to:

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 17 queries.