Project the 2008 Trend Map

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Here's mine:



(This is state swing relative to national swing.  NM is dead even.)

[Ronnie]

Trend map:



Swing map:

[Hash]

TN will swing to McCain for sure.

[Ronnie]

TN will swing to McCain for sure.

Polling doesn't concur.

[kevinatcausa]

In 2004 Tennessee was only 12 points more Republican than the national average.  In 2008 polls McCain's been comfortably up by double digits even as Obama leads nationally. 

So relative to the national average, polling's suggesting a sizable McCain swing.