Prediction Summary - with states most easily changed noted (user search)
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  Prediction Summary - with states most easily changed noted (search mode)
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Author Topic: Prediction Summary - with states most easily changed noted  (Read 26021 times)
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« on: June 13, 2008, 10:27:02 PM »
I have a question. How many changes would it take until NC moves to lean McCain.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2008, 03:45:54 PM »
Quote from: Judge Ernest on June 14, 2008, 01:52:41 PM
Quote from: Josh22 on June 13, 2008, 10:27:02 PM
I have a question. How many changes would it take until NC moves to lean McCain.

At the moment, it would take 59 changed predictions to shift NC from R Strong to R Lean.  I keep an eye out for States like NC that have a 5 to10% margin to see if they need adding to the list, but I don't bother keeping track of the exact margin each day due to time.  The full list of those waiting in the wings right now is:

DE: D 50%  Lean  (55 changes to D Strong)
IA: D 40% Tossup (62 changes to D  50%)
NC: R 50% Strong (59 changes to R  Lean)
OH: D 40% Tossup (82 changes to D  30%)
TX: R 60% Strong (66 changes to R  50%)

Thanks, nice work.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« Reply #2 on: July 27, 2008, 09:41:34 PM »
GO NC!!!!!!!!!! Lean here we come!
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74
« Reply #3 on: July 30, 2008, 07:08:02 AM »
Darn you people!
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