CT: Rasmussen: Obama leads McCain by 3% in Connecticut

[Alcon]

New Poll: Connecticut President by Rasmussen on 2008-05-29

Summary: D: 47%, R: 44%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Clinton is +6

[Aizen]

in before... arguing

[Lief 🗽]

Odd result, in that it's the opposite of all the other Connecticut polls.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Odd result, in that it's the opposite of all the other Connecticut polls.

Yeah, but now DWDL is going to be bitching about how Connecticut will be close this year.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Surprising to say the least. I thought Connecticut would be strong Obama this year, and it still might be. But worth looking at anyway.

[Ronnie]

Odd result, in that it's the opposite of all the other Connecticut polls.

Yeah, but now DWDL is going to be bitching about how Connecticut will be close this year.

Ditto.

I DO think that if McCain chooses Lieberman, he may eat up to 3% percent of Obama's margin or so, but it wouldn't be enough to swing the state.

[Josh/Devilman88]

Surprising to say the least. I thought Connecticut would be strong Obama this year, and it still might be. But worth looking at anyway.

Who knows... Could we have a EV map like this?

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Surprising to say the least. I thought Connecticut would be strong Obama this year, and it still might be. But worth looking at anyway.

Who knows... Could we have a EV map like this?

No.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Surprising to say the least. I thought Connecticut would be strong Obama this year, and it still might be. But worth looking at anyway.

Who knows... Could we have a EV map like this?

No. Until I see more polls out of CT showing it close, it will still be considered a safe Obama state. Obama will not win Virginia, Indiana, North Carolina and Montana and lose Connecticut, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

[Ronnie]

Surprising to say the least. I thought Connecticut would be strong Obama this year, and it still might be. But worth looking at anyway.

Who knows... Could we have a EV map like this?

No. Until I see more polls out of CT showing it close, it will still be considered a safe Obama state. Obama will not win Virginia, North Carolina and Montana and lose Connecticut, Michigan, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.

I have to disagree with you here.  Josh22's map is ridiculous, but I really doubt McCain is going to get PA and MI in the end.  The indies in both of those states are going to flock to Obama, and there is probably going to be big black turnout in Detroit.

[Flying Dog]

For lack of a better exclamation, WTF!

[Josh/Devilman88]

Surprising to say the least. I thought Connecticut would be strong Obama this year, and it still might be. But worth looking at anyway.

Who knows... Could we have a EV map like this?

No. Until I see more polls out of CT showing it close, it will still be considered a safe Obama state. Obama will not win Virginia, North Carolina and Montana and lose Connecticut, Michigan, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.

I have to disagree with you here.  Josh22's map is ridiculous, but I really doubt McCain is going to get PA and MI in the end.  The indies in both of those states are going to flock to Obama, and there is probably going to be big black turnout in Detroit.

I was just making the point that right now it is May and the election is in Nov. and alot of things will happen and change the EV map. So we really don't know where Obama and McCain's strength is.

[Iosif is a COTHO]

Surprising to say the least. I thought Connecticut would be strong Obama this year, and it still might be. But worth looking at anyway.

Who knows... Could we have a EV map like this?

No. Until I see more polls out of CT showing it close, it will still be considered a safe Obama state. Obama will not win Virginia, North Carolina and Montana and lose Connecticut, Michigan, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.

I have to disagree with you here.  Josh22's map is ridiculous, but I really doubt McCain is going to get PA and MI in the end.  The indies in both of those states are going to flock to Obama, and there is probably going to be big black turnout in Detroit.

I think what he meant was that if Obama were to do badly enough to lose PA, CT and MI, he would never win NC and VA.

Which is true.

[Verily]

, but polls are always a little wacky this far out.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Surprising to say the least. I thought Connecticut would be strong Obama this year, and it still might be. But worth looking at anyway.

Who knows... Could we have a EV map like this?

No. Until I see more polls out of CT showing it close, it will still be considered a safe Obama state. Obama will not win Virginia, North Carolina and Montana and lose Connecticut, Michigan, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.

I have to disagree with you here.  Josh22's map is ridiculous, but I really doubt McCain is going to get PA and MI in the end.  The indies in both of those states are going to flock to Obama, and there is probably going to be big black turnout in Detroit.

I think what he meant was that if Obama were to do badly enough to lose PA, CT and MI, he would never win NC and VA.

Which is true.

Yeah, I added the wrong states in the wrong part of the sentence. I tried to fix it though ..

[ChrisFromNJ]

Connecticut could be one of those states where McCain plays very well in... I wouldn't put it past him to lose it by only +5 in a 50/50 race. Kerry only won it by 11%.

[AndrewTX]

Got news for ya folks, Connecticut hates Bush, not McCain. By no means will John win here, but I think he could do better in certain areas of the state than Bush did.

[Flying Dog]

Connecticut could be one of those states where McCain plays very well in... I wouldn't put it past him to lose it by only +5 in a 50/50 race. Kerry only won it by 11%.

Yeah, but I thought that Obama would play very well in the state. He did beat Clinton here, in her own back yard, no less.

[Verily]

Connecticut might be one of the sorts of states that likes McCain as a theory when no one is actually talking about his reality, the vision of the kind of perfect moderate Republican, and so gives him higher support when all of the news is about the Democrats. It's an interesting thought anyway, but I've no evidence for it. (The same dynamic I would hypothesize in Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont as well.)

[Tender Branson]

Well, if this leads to McCain pouring some money into the state, it´s fine for me ...

The final result will be 57-41 Obama.

[Eraserhead]

Alright, maybe Rasmussen is on something.

[Gustaf]

I suspect that as we get closer to the election McCain will do better than people currently expect in places like Connecticut, but potentially worse in states like Ohio or Pennsylvania. But that's a guess on my part.

[NOVA Green]

Too bad Ras didn't show any cross-tabs on this one.... I'll have to see another reputable poll or so that breaks down the numbers a little more before I move this one to the "narrow Obama" or tossup category.

Also, too bad they didn't do a VP survey with Lieberman on it, that would have been interesting. When's SUSA going to poll this state with the potential VP matchups?

[Lief 🗽]

Um... it is just me, or has this poll disappeared from the Rasmussen site?

[Flying Dog]

Um... it is just me, or has this poll disappeared from the Rasmussen site?

I sent an E-mail inquiring why.