Puerto Rico Democratic primary results discussion thread (user search)
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  Puerto Rico Democratic primary results discussion thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Puerto Rico Democratic primary results discussion thread  (Read 12562 times)
Gustaf
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Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: June 01, 2008, 02:47:56 PM »

Well, it's a good thing most of those districts have an even number of delegates, or else Obama would be screwed.

If he really is getting trounced by 40% that won't really help much though, will it?
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Gustaf
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Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: June 01, 2008, 02:55:34 PM »

What are the district delegate numbers?
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Gustaf
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Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #2 on: June 01, 2008, 03:12:24 PM »

*Apparently* how it works is that olds vote in the morning before they go to church, while youngs and poors vote later in the day as they sleep in, eat, and then head out for activities.

So...who would that benefit? Young people indicate Obama but poor and not that interested in voting would indicate Clinton.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2008, 03:18:25 PM »

*Apparently* how it works is that olds vote in the morning before they go to church, while youngs and poors vote later in the day as they sleep in, eat, and then head out for activities.

So...who would that benefit? Young people indicate Obama but poor and not that interested in voting would indicate Clinton.

The exit polling doesn't really have a significant difference depending on income level though. There also doesn't seem to be that much data on young people.

So basically, I have no idea.

The exit polling doesn't indicate any differences between any groups with the exceptions of views of the candidates (duh) and political affiliation in the state...there seem to be little difference between other groups.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #4 on: June 01, 2008, 03:27:44 PM »

Only one district has more than 10% reporting. I don't see how the numbers add up, to be honest.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #5 on: June 01, 2008, 05:27:16 PM »

So if the current numbers hold...

At-large: 13-6 Clinton
District 1, San Juan: 4-2 Clinton
District 2, Bayamón: 3-2 Clinton 
District 3, Arecibo: 3-1 Clinton
District 4, Mayagüez: 3-1 Clinton
District 5, Ponce: 3-1 Clinton
District 6, Guayama: 3-1 Clinton
District 7, Humacao: 3-1 Clinton
District 8, Carolina: 3-2 Clinton

Total: 38-17 Clinton

Ouch

Unless I'm wrong, she's very close to another delegate District 2 and has a longshot chance District 1 as well. Otherwise, numbers are looking very stable to me.

EDIT: Obama could maybe get 2-2 in district 6 as well.
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