Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
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Author Topic: Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle  (Read 848906 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3575 on: August 07, 2012, 10:22:28 PM »
McKenna 46.5%, Inslee 42.8%.
Cantwell 51.7%, Baumgarner 32.3%.

DelBene still in second.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #3576 on: August 07, 2012, 10:25:29 PM »
Ouch Ruderman..
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3577 on: August 07, 2012, 10:27:09 PM »
Nothing from Snohomish or King yet for WA-01. Still too early to call, but DelBene's looking good so far.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3578 on: August 07, 2012, 10:28:21 PM »
Ferguson is leading 49-41 for AG, and we don't even have King yet. Smiley

Also noticed the third place candidate for Governor is a Democrat, with Republican Hadian in fourth. Didn't expect that.
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Alcon
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« Reply #3579 on: August 07, 2012, 10:33:54 PM »
Jay Inslee is doing very well in Snohomish County.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3580 on: August 07, 2012, 10:35:51 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on August 07, 2012, 10:33:54 PM
Jay Inslee is doing very well in Snohomish County.

Not surprising as his latest district was there.

Also, DelBene is doing well in Snohomish.
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Alcon
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« Reply #3581 on: August 07, 2012, 10:36:46 PM »
Spokane is not great for Inslee...and he's trailing in Mason an Cowlitz.  A theme about suburban vs. working-class voters is starting to appear here
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3582 on: August 07, 2012, 10:37:49 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on August 07, 2012, 10:36:46 PM
Spokane is not great for Inslee...and he's trailing in Mason an Cowlitz.  A theme about suburban vs. working-class voters is starting to appear here

Inslee is doing well in Pacific and Grays Harbor though. That pattern is enough to give a Dem a win. I am surprised at Inslee's poor performance in Whitman though. WSU not in?
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bgwah
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« Reply #3583 on: August 07, 2012, 10:38:27 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on August 07, 2012, 10:36:46 PM
Spokane is not great for Inslee...and he's trailing in Mason an Cowlitz.  A theme about suburban vs. working-class voters is starting to appear here

Rossi won both of those counties. We've been seeing this trend develop for years.

Inslee is leading in recently Republican counties like Skagit and Island.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3584 on: August 07, 2012, 10:40:35 PM »
Quote from: bgwah on August 07, 2012, 10:38:27 PM
Quote from: Alcon on August 07, 2012, 10:36:46 PM
Spokane is not great for Inslee...and he's trailing in Mason an Cowlitz.  A theme about suburban vs. working-class voters is starting to appear here

Rossi won both of those counties. We've been seeing this trend develop for years.

Inslee is leading in recently Republican counties like Skagit and Island.

Are Skagit and Island really still Republican counties?
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3585 on: August 07, 2012, 10:42:14 PM »
DelBene is up in King. I think she has it in the bag. Also, Inslee's doing well in Thurston.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3586 on: August 07, 2012, 10:44:15 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on August 07, 2012, 10:40:35 PM
Quote from: bgwah on August 07, 2012, 10:38:27 PM
Quote from: Alcon on August 07, 2012, 10:36:46 PM
Spokane is not great for Inslee...and he's trailing in Mason an Cowlitz.  A theme about suburban vs. working-class voters is starting to appear here

Rossi won both of those counties. We've been seeing this trend develop for years.

Inslee is leading in recently Republican counties like Skagit and Island.

Are Skagit and Island really still Republican counties?

Not really. And that's my point. Maybe Cowlitz and Mason have trended R. But other counties have trended D.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3587 on: August 07, 2012, 10:46:19 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on August 07, 2012, 10:42:14 PM
DelBene is up in King. I think she has it in the bag. Also, Inslee's doing well in Thurston.

Yup! 23-17 in King for DelBene. What a relief.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3588 on: August 07, 2012, 10:47:29 PM »
Also, Koster is going to be well under 50%. Good sign for the Dems in the fall.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3589 on: August 07, 2012, 10:48:03 PM »
Inslee sweeps King 58-35!
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3590 on: August 07, 2012, 10:48:57 PM »

Yeah but anyone could tell you that. Tongue King easily erases McKenna's statewide lead. It honestly might not even be that close.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3591 on: August 07, 2012, 10:49:35 PM »
SoS hasn't added King yet, but they're saying McKenna +15k and Inslee won King by 51k. Add the usual late voting Democrats, and it's definitely looking like Inslee will get first place.

Quote from: realisticidealist on August 07, 2012, 10:48:57 PM

Yeah but anyone could tell you that. Tongue King easily erases McKenna's statewide lead.

McKenna is from Bellevue. I didn't think he would definitely lose by 23 points.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3592 on: August 07, 2012, 10:55:26 PM »
Wow, The Stranger's write-in endorsement may have worked!

District 43, Seat 1:
90.66% Pedersen
8.48% Sawant
0.86% Write-in

District 43, Seat 2
80.44% Chopp
9.35% Gadow
10.21% Write-in
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3593 on: August 07, 2012, 10:56:26 PM »
All counties have first wave in.

Inslee 46.78%, McKenna 42.93%
Cantwell 55.78%, Baumgarner 30.24%
Koster 43.72%, DelBene 23.33%, Burner 14.60%
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bgwah
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« Reply #3594 on: August 07, 2012, 10:59:06 PM »
In the 5th LD, Mullet is leading Toft 53-47.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #3595 on: August 07, 2012, 11:00:27 PM »
In my local LD (10), two incumbents are squaring off against each other. It's currently Bailey 50.28%, Haugen 49.72%. Doesn't mean much, but still very close.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3596 on: August 07, 2012, 11:01:21 PM »
Looks like Drew and Kelley will be the Democrats for SoS and Auditor, respectively.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #3597 on: August 07, 2012, 11:06:10 PM »
Thank god for King county. I was getting worried about Gonzalez until results from King (75-25 in favor of Gonzalez) came in. Any reason he was so weak in the rest of the state?
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RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,785


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« Reply #3598 on: August 07, 2012, 11:07:40 PM »
Quote from: CultureKing on August 07, 2012, 11:06:10 PM
Thank god for King county. I was getting worried about Gonzalez until results from King (75-25 in favor of Gonzalez) came in. Any reason he was so weak in the rest of the state?

Those are some incredibly polarized results. Wow.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3599 on: August 07, 2012, 11:07:54 PM »
Litzow is winning 58-42... Oh well.
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