Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
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Author Topic: Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle  (Read 837142 times)
bgwah
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« Reply #3950 on: October 10, 2012, 05:03:03 PM »

The anti-R-74 ads begin airing on Monday. Sad

The Eastside was carpet bombed with Reject R-74 signs over the weekend. :/
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bgwah
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« Reply #3951 on: October 11, 2012, 10:53:33 AM »

Any chance those cop killer commercials will drag down Ferguson? It reminds me of the sleazy ads that allowed McKenna to beat Senn in 2004.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #3952 on: October 11, 2012, 05:07:39 PM »

Are there any more debates left in the governor's race?  I'm beginning to lose hope.  I sure hope you guys don't make it 32 years of Democrat governors!
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Cobbler
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« Reply #3953 on: October 11, 2012, 10:53:34 PM »

Are there any more debates left in the governor's race?  I'm beginning to lose hope.  I sure hope you guys don't make it 32 years of Democrat governors!
There's one tonight, but I don't think they'll have much of an impact. I'm hoping McKenna can pull it off, but its definitely looking better for Inslee.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #3954 on: October 12, 2012, 08:28:13 AM »

Are there any more debates left in the governor's race?  I'm beginning to lose hope.  I sure hope you guys don't make it 32 years of Democrat governors!
There's one tonight, but I don't think they'll have much of an impact. I'm hoping McKenna can pull it off, but its definitely looking better for Inslee.
I think it's ridiculous that they would schedule it the same night as the VP debate.  I still think McKenna can do it, though.
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Seattle
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« Reply #3955 on: October 12, 2012, 03:58:19 PM »

Yikes, the "The real Rob McKenna" ads are awful.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #3956 on: October 12, 2012, 04:58:10 PM »

Yikes, the "The real Rob McKenna" ads are awful.

Link?
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Alaska2392
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« Reply #3957 on: October 12, 2012, 10:10:34 PM »

Yikes, the "The real Rob McKenna" ads are awful.

Agreed, but in the year 2012 "good attack ad" is kind of an oxymoron.  I doubt any of these ads are having an impact.

I mean, honestly, a bunch of old guys with AWM syndrome discussing Jay Inslee's record at a Denny's......
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bgwah
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« Reply #3958 on: October 12, 2012, 10:22:13 PM »

Yikes, the "The real Rob McKenna" ads are awful.

The minimum wage ad is certainly better than McKenna's dumb "Jay Inslee hates firefighters!" ads.
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Meeker
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« Reply #3959 on: October 13, 2012, 12:39:10 PM »

"Democrat" Tim Sheldon has endorsed Bill Driscoll in WA-06.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3960 on: October 13, 2012, 01:00:45 PM »

"Democrat" Tim Sheldon has endorsed Bill Driscoll in WA-06.

Kilmer is still going to win, right?
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Meeker
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« Reply #3961 on: October 13, 2012, 01:03:13 PM »

"Democrat" Tim Sheldon has endorsed Bill Driscoll in WA-06.

Kilmer is still going to win, right?

Probably. You are going to start seeing a lot of Driscoll ads on TV next week. And his direct mail has started.

Side note: Apparently Sheldon supported Obama in 2008? I'm surprised.
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Frodo
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« Reply #3962 on: October 13, 2012, 01:59:38 PM »

Are there any more debates left in the governor's race?  I'm beginning to lose hope.  I sure hope you guys don't make it 32 years of Democrat governors!

If the WA GOP provides better candidates that don't hate cities and mass transit, and we might just avoid seeing a 36 or 40-year run.  Otherwise, they should prepare to follow their California counterparts into near-irrelevance.  
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Seattle
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« Reply #3963 on: October 13, 2012, 05:20:35 PM »

Yikes, the "The real Rob McKenna" ads are awful.

The minimum wage ad is certainly better than McKenna's dumb "Jay Inslee hates firefighters!" ads.

In my opinion the minimum wage ads seem kinda silly. While McKenna's firefighter ads are even more ridiculous and just wrong, they paint a more frightening picture (I could see people believing them and caring about it).
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LastVoter
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« Reply #3964 on: October 13, 2012, 07:29:01 PM »

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=7KPvmJ514p4
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Seattle
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« Reply #3965 on: October 14, 2012, 05:26:16 PM »

Yes on R-74 has gotten pretty much every major/minor newspaper endorsement...

Another one from Eastern Washington (The Tri-City Herald):

http://www.tri-cityherald.com/2012/10/14/2133827/same-sex-marriage-yes.html
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Alcon
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« Reply #3966 on: October 14, 2012, 09:52:27 PM »
« Edited: October 14, 2012, 09:53:59 PM by Grad Students are the Worst »

I think the Tri-Cities Herald actually was neutral on R-71.  Must be changes in the editorial board.

As far as I know, the only Reject editorial so far was a pretty lukewarm one from the Longview Daily News.  I imagine the Centralia Chronicle will probably be anti- too.

None of this is particularly surprising, though.  Proposition 8 didn't really get newspaper endorsements either.

22 days!
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Seattle
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« Reply #3967 on: October 15, 2012, 12:26:16 AM »

As far as I know, the only Reject editorial so far was a pretty lukewarm one from the Longview Daily News.

I think it's strange they didn't write for the yes side... I know Longview isn't socially liberal, but it sure is when compared to Wenatchee, Walla Walla, or the Tri-Cities.

Has the Yakima Herald choosen sides yet?
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bgwah
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« Reply #3968 on: October 15, 2012, 12:43:52 AM »

The anti-R74 ads are pretty bad...
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Alcon
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« Reply #3969 on: October 15, 2012, 01:51:18 AM »

I'm pretty sure the Heraldgave a pretty solid endorsement to R-71 in 2009.  I'd assume they'll be going with Approve again.

Random, but I think I just figured out why Columbia County (or at least Dayton) is relatively moderate on social issues relative to Garfield County/Pomeroy: there's a United Church of Christ in Dayton with a lesbian pastor.
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Mercenary
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« Reply #3970 on: October 15, 2012, 03:56:46 AM »

I finally got around to updating my absentee ballot address. Shocked
But I'm starting to think my votes will be on the losing end on every issue. Although I have a hard time voting for any candidates because our idiotic top two primary system means that once the primary is over my ability to vote is gone since the only candidates I would ever consider are third party ones. Still, even if all my votes will be on the losing side, may as well vote anyway I guess, but it seems barely worth the effort.
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Meeker
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« Reply #3971 on: October 15, 2012, 09:47:58 PM »

Congressional finance update!

WA-01

DelBene
Total raised: $3,462,000 ($2,300,000 from candidate)
Total spent: $3,135,000
CoH: $486,000

Koster
Total raised: $833,000
Total spent: $595,000
CoH: $238,000

WA-02

Larsen
Total raised: $1,247,000
Total spent: $973,000
CoH: $588,000

Matthews
Total raised: $258,000 ($200,000 from candidate)
Total spent: $213,000
CoH: $45,000

WA-03

Herrera Beutler
Total raised: $1,568,000
Total spent: $1,208,000
CoH: $441,000

Haugen
Total raised: $0
Total spent: $0
CoH: $0

WA-04

Hastings
Total raised: $1,511,000
Total spent: $1,214,000
CoH: $423,000

Baechler
Total raised: $13,000
Total spent: $16,000
CoH: -$3,000

WA-05

McMorris Rodgers
Total raised: $1,791,000
Total spent: $1,494,000
CoH: $797,000

Cowan
Total raised: $305,000
Total spent: $262,000
CoH: $43,000

WA-06

Kilmer
Total raised: $1,545,000
Total spent: $1,156,000
CoH: $387,000

Driscoll
Total raised: $1,574,000 ($1,000,000 from candidate)
Total spent: $894,000
CoH: $681,000

WA-07

McDermott
Total raised: $551,000
Total spent: $508,000
CoH: $61,000

Bemis
Total raised: $6,000
Total spent: $4,000
CoH: $2,000

WA-08

Reichert
Total raised: $1,574,000
Total spent: $1,350,000
CoH: $676,000

Porterfield
Total raised: $117,000 ($87,000 from candidate)
Total spent: $97,000
CoH: $20,000

WA-09

Smith
Total raised: FEC website keeps crashing. IDK.
Total spent:
CoH:

Postma
Total raised: $156,000 ($151,000 from candidate)
Total spent: $102,000
CoH: $50,000

WA-10

Heck
Total raised: $1,835,000 ($100,000 from candidate)
Total spent: $1,564,000
CoH: $354,000

Muri
Total raised: $224,000
Total spent: $214,000
CoH: $32,000
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #3972 on: October 15, 2012, 09:51:58 PM »

I really don't get why McDermott needs half a million.  lol
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Meeker
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« Reply #3973 on: October 15, 2012, 09:53:18 PM »

The folks in the safe seats raise money to send to the DCCC/NRCC who then send it to competitive districts.
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bgwah
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« Reply #3974 on: October 15, 2012, 10:19:07 PM »

I guess that explains Driscoll...
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