Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 01:39:27 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 157 158 159 160 161 [162] 163 164 165 166 167 ... 252
Author Topic: Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle  (Read 837040 times)
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4025 on: October 23, 2012, 02:17:48 AM »

As for the Senate, I like Cantwell well enough, but I also rather like Baumgartner as a person. He's an involved Catholic, and I'm sympathetic toward his schooling choices. Plus, Cantwell is going to win comfortably anyway, so I don't see much harm in voting for Baumgartner.


Cantwell is Catholic as well. Actually, Gregoire and Murray are Catholics too. Cantwell is a great senator in my opinion. She's definitely one of the quiter/under the radar senators out there. Speaking of radars, she's the reason why the Washington Coast has a new weather radar station - a huge help to forecasting. Anyway, it's little things like that, which really make me appreciate the job she's doing.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,714


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4026 on: October 23, 2012, 10:19:38 AM »

As for the Senate, I like Cantwell well enough, but I also rather like Baumgartner as a person. He's an involved Catholic, and I'm sympathetic toward his schooling choices. Plus, Cantwell is going to win comfortably anyway, so I don't see much harm in voting for Baumgartner.


Cantwell is Catholic as well. Actually, Gregoire and Murray are Catholics too. Cantwell is a great senator in my opinion. She's definitely one of the quiter/under the radar senators out there. Speaking of radars, she's the reason why the Washington Coast has a new weather radar station - a huge help to forecasting. Anyway, it's little things like that, which really make me appreciate the job she's doing.

I like Cantwell plenty, but being a pro-choice Catholic Democrat isn't really a step up from your regular Democrat for me.
Logged
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4027 on: October 23, 2012, 11:25:06 PM »

The Yakima-Herald has endorsed Yes on R-74, which I think is the final 'major' newspaper to issue a decision.

http://www.yakima-herald.com/stories/2012/10/22/endorsements-all-couples-deserve-the-right-to-wed-approve-r-74
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4028 on: October 24, 2012, 02:51:19 PM »

McKenna leads the latest Elway poll 47-45. First time he has lead a poll since June.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4029 on: October 24, 2012, 02:58:13 PM »

McKenna leads the latest Elway poll 47-45. First time he has lead a poll since June.

Do we have any other results from the poll?
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4030 on: October 24, 2012, 03:03:42 PM »

Ferguson 38%
Dunn 36%

Drew 34%
Wyman 34%

Kelley 34%
Watkins 29%

Owen 42%
Finkbeiner 32%

Charter schools, gay marriage and pot up, but none over 50% (kind of troubling, but it's Elway, and he also doesn't push undecideds)
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4031 on: October 24, 2012, 03:53:17 PM »

Elway, Ref. 74:

Approved 49% (-2)
Rejected 45% (+8)

Interesting, I guess.
Logged
Alaska2392
NRS11
Rookie
**
Posts: 85
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4032 on: October 24, 2012, 06:35:11 PM »

Yeah, interesting is right.  We'll have to look for another poll to back this up.  My guess is that King 5 isn't done with SurveyUSA.

I know a lot of people on this forum hate this, but just for the record - apparently this poll was D+3 as opposed to D+13 in the last one. 
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4033 on: October 26, 2012, 01:22:16 AM »

http://seattletimes.com/html/localnews/2019526374_truthneedle26m.html

This is just silly.
Logged
Ogre Mage
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,500
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -5.22

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4034 on: October 26, 2012, 01:44:11 AM »


Susan Kelleher and Linda Shaw were two of the 100+ Seattle Times employees who signed the letter of protest to their executive management.

http://slog.thestranger.com/slog/archives/2012/10/19/a-partly-deciphered-list-of-seattle-times-protest-letter-signers
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4035 on: October 27, 2012, 06:20:03 PM »

http://seattletimes.com/html/politics/2019535027_tom5th27m.html

Wonder how long it will be before he switches back to R. If it came down to 25-24, maybe that's when he would do it.
Logged
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4036 on: October 28, 2012, 09:08:49 PM »

The only positition I'm undecided on is for Lieutenant Governor.... Anyone want to sway me?
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4037 on: October 28, 2012, 11:33:46 PM »

The only positition I'm undecided on is for Lieutenant Governor.... Anyone want to sway me?

Our best weapon against the GOP is to keep their bench as weak as possible. Brad Owen is harmless. Who would you rather run against for Governor or Senator (or Congress - Finkbeiner is presumably in the 1st CD, if DelBene wins..) --- more McKennas or more Baumgartners?

I also have a deep distrust of party switchers.
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4038 on: October 28, 2012, 11:38:19 PM »

Finkbeiner is indeed in the 1st CD.

Look, Owen is awful on choice and the environment and probably marriage equality, but his job doesn't  have anything to do with that. It's to go on international trade missions and not mess around when the Governor leaves the state and preside over the Senate fairly. He does all of those pretty well. And yeah, if Finkbeiner wins Lt. Governor it will not be the last office he runs for.
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4039 on: October 28, 2012, 11:40:03 PM »

Owen supports gay marriage.
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4040 on: October 28, 2012, 11:40:43 PM »


Refreshing.
Logged
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4041 on: October 28, 2012, 11:42:06 PM »

Fair enough reasoning, thanks eveyone.

What do you guys think the county map for the pot initiative will look like? Similar to a Dem/Rep split or more funky?
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4042 on: October 28, 2012, 11:47:27 PM »

I suspect there will be SW Washington counties that marriage equality will fail in but pot legalization will pass in (Grays Harbor, Cowlitz, Wahkiakum and Skamania spring to mind).
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4043 on: October 29, 2012, 12:05:22 AM »

Here is the medicinal marijuana initiative that passed 59-41 in 1998, for reference:



I'd expect at least some of the patterns to be similar. Marijuana probably won't do as well in Eastern Washington this time, but I really don't know what to expect.
Logged
Ebowed
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,597


Political Matrix
E: 4.13, S: 2.09

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4044 on: October 29, 2012, 03:58:18 AM »

As I've told bgwah, I couldn't bring myself to vote for Brad Owen (as in 2008), blemishing an otherwise Democratic ballot.

(Besides, he was the only candidate to be listed as 'Democrat party' rather than 'Democratic')
Logged
Ogre Mage
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,500
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -5.22

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4045 on: October 31, 2012, 01:27:07 AM »

Michael Baumgartner has really bottomed out -- even his home city paper endorsed Cantwell.

http://www.spokesman.com/stories/2012/oct/25/editorial-cantwell-represents-state-well-in-us/


Logged
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4046 on: October 31, 2012, 07:57:18 PM »

The Koster DelBene race was going to be close, but after "the rape thing" comment and his position on abortion, I don't see him winning this district.

http://www.komonews.com/news/local/Koster-says-rape-thing-not-cause-for-abortion-176661851.html
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4047 on: November 01, 2012, 12:20:07 PM »

Final poll from UW has Inslee leading 49-46. Certainly a relief but I'm still very nervous about this race.

http://slog.thestranger.com/slog/archives/2012/11/01/new-washington-poll-inslee-up-narrowly-marriage-equality-just-barely-passing
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4048 on: November 01, 2012, 01:07:56 PM »

Wow, marijuana legalization looks like it's going to pass easily (unless the polls are wrong, which is possible).
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4049 on: November 01, 2012, 01:13:56 PM »

I suspect it will. There's no organized opposition beyond a few medical marijuana activists who claim that the proposal includes too much regulation (and they've raised virtually no money).
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 157 158 159 160 161 [162] 163 164 165 166 167 ... 252  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.059 seconds with 11 queries.