Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
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  Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle
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Author Topic: Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle  (Read 844567 times)
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #5450 on: October 17, 2017, 04:50:57 PM »

In a shock turn of events, the Seattle Times is endorsing Jon Grant.

I'm certainly not complaining but this a shock from the stiffs at the Times editorial board.
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Seattle
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« Reply #5451 on: October 17, 2017, 05:05:17 PM »

In a shock turn of events, the Seattle Times is endorsing Jon Grant.

I'm certainly not complaining but this a shock from the stiffs at the Times editorial board.

It really isn't. They're endorsing the candidate they perceive to be the most anti-density. (See Murakami endorsement (who actually is anti-density), Durkan endorsement (again, not at all so)).
They did the same with Sara Nelson (plus for other reasons), even though both her and Grant are not actually so.
Suburban Times strikes again.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #5452 on: October 17, 2017, 05:13:15 PM »

In a shock turn of events, the Seattle Times is endorsing Jon Grant.

I'm certainly not complaining but this a shock from the stiffs at the Times editorial board.

It really isn't. They're endorsing the candidate they perceive to be the most anti-density. (See Murakami endorsement (who actually is anti-density), Durkan endorsement (again, not at all so)).
They did the same with Sara Nelson (plus for other reasons), even though both her and Grant are not actually so.
Suburban Times strikes again.

Their hatred of labor unions might factor in too.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5453 on: October 18, 2017, 09:06:38 AM »

If I had to guess, Durkan wins... narrowly. Durkan would be an improvement over Murray of course but I’d like to see Moon take it. I think she “gets it” on the issues like McGinn did but isn’t an abrasive, sharp-elbowed wierdo who doesn’t play well with others.

Lol at the Times endorsing Grant. SFH Uber Alles for the Blethen Family Newsletter, nothing new under the sun. That article where the Stranger tried to figure out what on earth was going on was hilarious.

Anyways, here’s hoping Mosqueda wins.
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Seattle
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« Reply #5454 on: October 18, 2017, 01:02:20 PM »

I think Mosqueda has it in the bag.
She'll get the vast majority of Nelson voters.

I hope Moon wins, but I think it'll be difficult. It would be nice to get some polling.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5455 on: October 18, 2017, 02:34:31 PM »

I think Mosqueda has it in the bag.
She'll get the vast majority of Nelson voters.

I hope Moon wins, but I think it'll be difficult. It would be nice to get some polling.

It would.

Also. The 45th. I think Dhingra wins, probably about 54-46 or so. Her ads focus (smartly) on education and run on Hulu (which I’ve never seen before). I’ve never seen an Englund ad anywhere but CNBC and it’s the usual dire “hurrrr income tax! Injection sites!” stuff you’d have expected. The positive, sunny stuff the JLE campaign ran in the summer is long gone.

Sadly I moved out of the 45th in June otherwise Dhingra would my vote and my wife’s. We’re 13 blocks from the district line now. Oh well!
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5456 on: October 18, 2017, 05:16:48 PM »

I’ve been giving 2018 some thought. Besides the obvious (Rodne and Graves in the 5th, Miloscia in the 30th), I think the South Sound needs to be a place of focus for Democrats. We were once dominant down there, and the 25th and 26th should be major targets. I’d argue in favor of going on offense in Sheldonland as well, though I imagine the focus there will be on taking ol’ Tim out before looking downballot
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #5457 on: October 18, 2017, 05:37:51 PM »

Could someone in King County tell me if Urqhart has a chance of going down?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5458 on: October 18, 2017, 05:59:45 PM »

Could someone in King County tell me if Urqhart has a chance of going down?

There’s a chance. His opponent is impressive, and I intend to vote for her.

Still think he wins, though.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #5459 on: October 19, 2017, 10:37:27 AM »

Could someone in King County tell me if Urqhart has a chance of going down?

There’s a chance. His opponent is impressive, and I intend to vote for her.

Still think he wins, though.

Pretty much what I thought. I'd like to see him lose.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5460 on: October 19, 2017, 11:01:55 AM »

Could someone in King County tell me if Urqhart has a chance of going down?

There’s a chance. His opponent is impressive, and I intend to vote for her.

Still think he wins, though.

Pretty much what I thought. I'd like to see him lose.

The sexual harassment stuff is bad enough, not to mention his habit of telling different audiences what they want to hear. Remarkably duplicitous.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5461 on: October 24, 2017, 10:29:33 PM »

Poll on WA Wire puts Dhingra ahead of Englund 51-39, roughly in line with primary results.

I think that’s too big a hole for Englund to make up.
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Seattle
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« Reply #5462 on: October 24, 2017, 11:19:54 PM »

Definitely, especially with the Sound Transit witch hunt turning up nothing. Even that stunt Senate Republicans pulled today is too lazy of an attempt (and also to late to define state Dems and too soon to be a bombshell that affects votes).

Still waiting on a mayoral poll.... tick tock...
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5463 on: October 25, 2017, 09:20:34 AM »

Definitely, especially with the Sound Transit witch hunt turning up nothing. Even that stunt Senate Republicans pulled today is too lazy of an attempt (and also to late to define state Dems and too soon to be a bombshell that affects votes).

Still waiting on a mayoral poll.... tick tock...

Oh great what did those hacks do this time?

Btw Washington Wire did have a poll on their site, monster Durkan lead
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« Reply #5464 on: October 25, 2017, 11:31:08 AM »

This: https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/transportation/sound-transit-misled-lawmakers-on-tax-plan-republican-led-senate-panel-says/

That poll seems pretty junky. I figure we should at least get an Elway poll.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5465 on: October 25, 2017, 11:40:42 AM »

Not that Olympia Dems have the world’s most sterling record on transportation but I can’t wait for Steve O’Ban and Curtis King to have zero input on our region’s transit priorities. An actual fix to the car tab issue can be passed, like the House Dems tried
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ajc0918
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« Reply #5466 on: October 25, 2017, 12:17:25 PM »

Poll on WA Wire puts Dhingra ahead of Englund 51-39, roughly in line with primary results.

I think that’s too big a hole for Englund to make up.

This seems closer than I would've guessed. Is this area more republican down ballot?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5467 on: October 25, 2017, 12:54:41 PM »

Poll on WA Wire puts Dhingra ahead of Englund 51-39, roughly in line with primary results.

I think that’s too big a hole for Englund to make up.

This seems closer than I would've guessed. Is this area more republican down ballot?

Much more so, historically. The Seattle Eastside (not to be confused with eastern WA) was once the backbone of the state GOP. This is Reichert/Rossi/McKenna country... at least it was. It’s very diverse (read: Indian), which gives Dhingra a big advantage.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #5468 on: October 25, 2017, 05:46:35 PM »

Poll on WA Wire puts Dhingra ahead of Englund 51-39, roughly in line with primary results.

I think that’s too big a hole for Englund to make up.

This seems closer than I would've guessed. Is this area more republican down ballot?

It's basically the wealthiest area in the state.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5469 on: October 25, 2017, 09:34:36 PM »

Poll on WA Wire puts Dhingra ahead of Englund 51-39, roughly in line with primary results.

I think that’s too big a hole for Englund to make up.

This seems closer than I would've guessed. Is this area more republican down ballot?

It's basically the wealthiest area in the state.

I’d be interested in seeing an income breakdown of all the LDs in the state, honestly
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5470 on: November 03, 2017, 12:56:35 PM »

My ballot:

KC Exec: Flawless Beautiful Dow Blue heart, the future Governor of Washington
KC Council: Rod Dembowski
Sheriff: Not John Urquhart
Port Commission: Creighton, who’s ad I saw, and the Somalian guy (why we vote for this, I don’t know)
Kirkland Council: Arnold, Walen and Pascal (the STB endorsed candidates)

I also voted for the random judges, utility district and school board members who were all unopposed
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Seattle
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« Reply #5471 on: November 03, 2017, 01:10:53 PM »

Mine:

Mayor: Molly Moon jk, Cary Moon
Council: Teresa Mosqueda and Lorena Gonzalez
Attorney: Pete Holmes
Port: Ryan Caulkins, Ahmed Abdi (Cool Somalian former refugee, even though I like little Gregoire), and Preeti Sridhar
County Exec: and the future governor's best hair award goes to.... Dow Constantine!
County Council: Rod Dembowski
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5472 on: November 03, 2017, 02:50:28 PM »

Preeti Sridhar, that’s it. That’s the third one.

Didn’t know Dembowski’s district extended into Seattle.
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Seattle
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« Reply #5473 on: November 03, 2017, 03:39:27 PM »

Preeti Sridhar, that’s it. That’s the third one.

Didn’t know Dembowski’s district extended into Seattle.

Yeah, most of northeast Seattle.
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Seattle
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« Reply #5474 on: November 07, 2017, 02:11:19 PM »

Turnout as of 8PM yesterday,

Seattle: 94,347    (20.65% turnout)
LD-45: 27,060 (29.21% turnout)

I'll post today's 12PM update when it's available.
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