Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

So what do our Washington posters think the overall odds on this passing look like?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

What are Hill, Fain, Parlette, Ericksen, Hatfield, and Shin like, and what are the chances of at least a couple of them coming down as Yes?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Exciting.

bgwah, when you say that the poll seems like an outlier, do you mean that you'd expect a higher number for gay marriage and a lower number for Cantwell, higher numbers for both, or something else?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Re: Senator Haugen: Uh...do we need to worry about this?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Re: Senator Haugen: Uh...do we need to worry about this?

I don't really think so -- her public statement was concrete, and she put out a very negative statement when NOM's national branch started phone-bombing here.  I also really think it's unlikely that they'll come out with none of the four undecideds.  My intuition is that the vote will be more like 28-21 than 25-24.

So she's just being the little old lady that she is?

(Quasi-related: My aunt has said some somewhat unfortunate things about LGBTQ people in the past, but when it comes to people she actually knows being insulted or discriminated against, or people's civil rights being on the chopping-board, she comes through for the right side. Every time.)

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Rep. Maureen Walsh (R-Human Decency, somewhere near Walla Walla) just gave one hell of a personal speech.  I'm sure it will be on YouTube sometime soon.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CbmbdWK6338

Nice speech.

She beat a Constitution Party candidate 78-22 in 2010. It will be interesting to see what happens this year.

I think she changed my mind.

Hurrah! Welcome to the team, Miles.

realisticidealist, if you'd like to talk to me about this, odds are I'll understand the lay of the land with regards to your feelings on this--as somebody who's had a lot of the questions that you're talking about but who feels that he's reconciled them in a way that seems to work.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Also noteworthy is that the New Jersey Senate passed gay marriage today. It doesn't have enough votes to override a possible Christie veto but it does have enough votes to be sent to referendum.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

That's a slight oversampling of women, but only slight. I think the numbers in most elections are like 52-48 or 53-47 or thereabouts.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Oh boy, I'm so excited that the words "redefine marriage" are in the in Referendum 74 proposed ballot language.

God damn it. Oh well. More work for the HRC lawyers and ad people.

I imagine this will be somewhat easier, purely structurally speaking, in Maryland.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Nice language. Seems pretty neutral.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I...just...

2/10, would not support again.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I am sooo glad I don't live in Washington state, because I don't know how I could stand living in what is probably the most liberal state in the country (in terms of policies.)

Despite the natural beauty, culture, and artistic and economic activity Washington produces, it have gay marriage and marijuana so it is a terrible place to live. [/OldiesFreak]

It also has assisted suicide and blanket primaries, and it hasn't elected a GOP governor since 1980.  I admire the other things you mentioned, but it would be an absolute nightmare for me politically.

What is so awful about blanket primaries?