Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 10:42:27 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle  (Read 848888 times)
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« on: April 18, 2011, 11:47:33 PM »
Washington is lucky to elect President and Governor concurrently.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2011, 10:23:34 PM »
If Washington's election was in 2002 instead of 2004, Gregoire would have lost. States with large Democratic cities tend to have better Democratic turnout in Presidential years. Elections are fun from the sidelines but I'm sure our washingtonians are thankful they haven't had a Republican governor in a long time.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2011, 02:04:26 AM »
Please please please take Kucinich in!
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2011, 01:29:11 AM »
People have been drawn put of their districts before, so, no.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #4 on: July 06, 2011, 12:26:27 AM »
Quote from: and it was about dreams of flying to spite a falling sky on July 06, 2011, 12:23:01 AM
What type of person could possibly vote for both McKenna and Obama?

Upper middle class suburban white families.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #5 on: September 13, 2011, 02:15:36 AM »
Quote from: redcommander on September 13, 2011, 02:11:53 AM
Quote from: bgwah on September 12, 2011, 02:53:35 PM
Quote from: Meeker on September 12, 2011, 02:36:43 PM
State Auditor Brian Sonntag has announced he won't run for re-election.

What!?! Only 20 years? Nobody has served such a short tenure in over a century!

https://uselectionatlas.org/WIKI/index.php/State_Auditor_of_Washington
Why hasn't Washington introduced term limits? Tongue
Washington is a liberal state
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2011, 01:12:37 AM »
I know males and females with the name.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #7 on: January 09, 2012, 12:37:54 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on January 08, 2012, 07:18:27 PM
Steve Litzow (R-Mercer Island) is a Yes on gay marriage, and the Times editorial board virtually awards him a Medal of Honor for it:

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/editorials/2017179497_edit09litzow.html

Gay marriage isn't a big deal at the yacht club.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #8 on: January 31, 2012, 12:10:13 AM »
Quote from: Meeker on January 30, 2012, 11:43:58 PM
I know one of Haugen's grandchildren and they say there's nothing to worry about, FWIW

Great to hear, assuming said grandchild is reliable.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #9 on: April 04, 2012, 02:46:36 AM »
Well, I was hoping to see more enthusiasm for victory here since Wisconsin is a rather obvious fool's gold race.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #10 on: April 05, 2012, 03:15:55 AM »
Quote from: seatown on April 05, 2012, 12:46:36 AM
So more continuation of death thousand austerities instead of sensible non-regressive income taxes? Eww...

Ha, I think you're expecting a bit much. Still, I like Inslee and would prefer him to, say, Governor Malloy the Malleable.
And Im eyeing the Pacific Coast if I choose to move.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #11 on: June 04, 2012, 09:00:12 PM »
Inslee needs to move fast or he wont have an opportunity to catch up.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #12 on: June 29, 2012, 01:45:28 AM »
Is McKenna a troll?
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #13 on: July 20, 2012, 12:21:05 AM »
Quote from: bgwah on July 19, 2012, 08:33:30 PM
A couple of new polls: http://slog.thestranger.com/slog/archives/2012/07/19/new-poll-shows-burner-ahead-in-wa-01

Democracy for America (Burner supporters):
17 Burner
13 DelBene
5 Hobbs
4 Ruderman
1 Rauniyar

Strategies 360
12 Burner
11 DelBene
6 Hobbs
3 Ruderman



I'l consider voting for DelBene if I have to...

Vote for Burner.  You can't hold losing to Reichert against her.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #14 on: July 20, 2012, 12:30:29 AM »
That is very petty. I can't imagine a different candidate defeating him in either of those elections. Burner is solidly liberal and is willing to take firm stances on the issues that matter.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #15 on: July 20, 2012, 12:40:08 AM »
Quote from: bgwah on July 20, 2012, 12:33:11 AM
Quote from: President Napoleon on July 20, 2012, 12:30:29 AM
That is very petty. I can't imagine a different candidate defeating him in either of those elections. Burner is solidly liberal and is willing to take firm stances on the issues that matter.

I sure can. DelBene did better in 2010 than Burner did in 2008... It was probably one of the only swings to the Democrats in 2010. Burner was and is a weak candidate.

DelBene did worse than Burner did in 2006. Reichert always wins with low 50s, just like Gerlach in PA-6. The challenging candidate doesn't matter much.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #16 on: July 20, 2012, 12:41:39 AM »
« Edited: July 20, 2012, 12:49:04 AM by President Napoleon »
Quote from: Meeker on July 20, 2012, 12:37:58 AM
^^^ Yup. If DelBene had run in 2006 or 2008 she would've beaten Reichert. Rodney Tom in 2008 may have also had a shot.

I liked Darcy a lot both times she ran before but don't much anymore; I think she's become way too negative and ideological. The most important factor though is that she's not going to be able to beat Koster in November (yes, I know that SurveyUSA poll had her doing the best. That's just because of name recognition.)
Fair enough. Negative and ideological don't turn me off too much and the new district as I understand gave Obama a decent margin but is swingier down ballot.

Quote from: Meeker on July 20, 2012, 12:41:05 AM
The national climates of 2006 and 2010 were a bit different...

I consider this argument a fallacy...yes it can account for some races, but I don't think it can be tossed around the way it is on this site. For example Dan Lungren got 60% in 206 and only 50% in 2010. A similar district to Reichert's would be PA-6, where Gerlach regularly gets low 50s no matter the opponent. District specific issues like the rumors about Reichert's health could also be a factor, so I think you're being a bit unfair, if not completely aversive to the big picture. I'd like to know what traits would make DelBene a stronger candidate otherwise.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #17 on: July 20, 2012, 09:52:31 AM »
Quote from: Alcon on July 20, 2012, 06:37:38 AM
Napoleon, I think the most damning piece of evidence there is that Reichert was the only Republican congressman (who I'm aware of) to lose vote share between 2008 and 2010.


I would explain that by pointing to the rumors of brain damage and all that but if you guys don't think that had an impact..
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #18 on: July 20, 2012, 03:36:17 PM »
OK. If you all don't think Burner can win then it makes sense not to support her. Still I would prefer to see her win the primary and the general.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #19 on: July 27, 2012, 03:27:21 PM »
I think more progressive groups will start spending to help Burner.
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892
« Reply #20 on: October 23, 2012, 12:55:11 AM »
Republican AG's are almost always total fascists. That's really the last position I'd want a Republican in.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.04 seconds with 11 queries.