Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]

[Meeker]

Noon Eastern: New Jersey President

Oh thank God, I had been waiting for that.

[they don't love you like i love you]

Sunday November 2, 2008

Obama 51% (nc)
McCain 46% (nc)

Good enough...

McCain has to make up 2.5 points per day in the next two days. Good luck with that one.

if you just look at today's sample...it's more like 1.5 per day....

still tough...but I don't really like it.

Or you have a 4 point Bradley.

The remaining superdelegates will split 3-1 for Clinton, too.

And Obama was overpolling in NC and would only win by 4. And there was a good chance Clinton's delegates would stage a convention walkout. And the Florida and Michigan Democrat parties would fight tooth and nail to have their delegates fully seated as voted so Obama would just have to grab as much of the uncommitted as he could.

Are you saying that NC will go Obama?

I was referring your absolutely horrendous NC primary prediction, which anyone in MENSA would've been able to figure out from the rest of the post, which is conveniently ignored.

[exopolitician]

Tuesday November 4, 2008

Obama: 52% (nc)
McCain: 46% (nc)

[J. J.]

Sunday November 2, 2008

Obama 51% (nc)
McCain 46% (nc)

Good enough...

McCain has to make up 2.5 points per day in the next two days. Good luck with that one.

if you just look at today's sample...it's more like 1.5 per day....

still tough...but I don't really like it.

Or you have a 4 point Bradley.

The remaining superdelegates will split 3-1 for Clinton, too.

And Obama was overpolling in NC and would only win by 4. And there was a good chance Clinton's delegates would stage a convention walkout. And the Florida and Michigan Democrat parties would fight tooth and nail to have their delegates fully seated as voted so Obama would just have to grab as much of the uncommitted as he could.

Are you saying that NC will go Obama?

I was referring your absolutely horrendous NC primary prediction, which anyone in MENSA would've been able to figure out from the rest of the post, which is conveniently ignored.

Just asking.  So you are not predicting NC for Obama?

[Brittain33]

Tuesday November 4, 2008

Obama: 52% (nc)
McCain: 46% (nc)

Wait for the weekend samples to drop out.

[Nutmeg]

Tuesday November 4, 2008

Obama: 52% (nc)
McCain: 46% (nc)

Wait for the weekend samples to drop out.

Ask me again on Wednesday whether this was a good sample.

[Nhoj]

Tuesday November 4, 2008

Obama: 52% (nc)
McCain: 46% (nc)

6 seems like a very real possibility im gonna say Ras is probably right on this one.

[RuhanS]

Rasmussen nailed it.

[Gustaf]

Yep. And Gallup, once again, sucked completely. That firm seems to have really, really lost it.

[Umengus]

old fim is not always good firm

[J. J.]

Yep. And Gallup, once again, sucked completely. That firm seems to have really, really lost it.

The "gold standard" no more.

[Reds4]

Rasmussen sure did win this cycle over gallup and zogby... thank goodness...

[MR maverick]

Gallup gives you a index of the level of suppport for the candidates.

If Obama was under 45% in the gallup then that ment it was pretty good chance he wouldn't win.  Over 50% and that pretty much ment he would win.

So I wouldn't rule them out, just more as a index poll.

[exopolitician]

Forty percent (40%) of U.S. voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is handling his new role as president-elect. Thirty-two percent (32%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a net rating of eight on the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Approval Index.

By way of comparison, 13% of voters Strongly Approve of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president. Forty-nine percent (49%) Strongly Disapprove. That gives the current President a -36 on the Presidential Approval Index.

In addition to the 40% who Strongly Approve of Obama’s performance so far, another 12% Somewhat Approve. That brings his total approval to 52%, an unsurprising figure since the Democrat earned 52% of the vote on Tuesday night.

[Rowan]

Rasmussen 2012 Republican Presidential Preference
Palin 64%
Huckabee 12%
Romney 11%

[Rowan]

Friday, November 7, 2008
Strongly Approve 41%(+1)
Strongly Disapprove 29%(-3)

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Well this makes ChrisNJ look foolish, which is a surprise to no one.

As for that republican primary poll, if that holds, which it won't, I'll be voting for Obama in 4 years if he has a tolerable first term.

[J. J.]

Forty percent (40%) of U.S. voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is handling his new role as president-elect. Thirty-two percent (32%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a net rating of eight on the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Approval Index.

By way of comparison, 13% of voters Strongly Approve of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president. Forty-nine percent (49%) Strongly Disapprove. That gives the current President a -36 on the Presidential Approval Index.

In addition to the 40% who Strongly Approve of Obama’s performance so far, another 12% Somewhat Approve. That brings his total approval to 52%, an unsurprising figure since the Democrat earned 52% of the vote on Tuesday night.

Isn't it a bit too hard to form an opinion after just two days.

[Iosif]

Forty percent (40%) of U.S. voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is handling his new role as president-elect. Thirty-two percent (32%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a net rating of eight on the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Approval Index.

By way of comparison, 13% of voters Strongly Approve of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president. Forty-nine percent (49%) Strongly Disapprove. That gives the current President a -36 on the Presidential Approval Index.

In addition to the 40% who Strongly Approve of Obama’s performance so far, another 12% Somewhat Approve. That brings his total approval to 52%, an unsurprising figure since the Democrat earned 52% of the vote on Tuesday night.

Isn't it a bit too hard to form an opinion after just two days.

You've somehow managed to map the next 4 yours.

"After you, the deluge"

Yawn.

[J. J.]

Forty percent (40%) of U.S. voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is handling his new role as president-elect. Thirty-two percent (32%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a net rating of eight on the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Approval Index.

By way of comparison, 13% of voters Strongly Approve of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president. Forty-nine percent (49%) Strongly Disapprove. That gives the current President a -36 on the Presidential Approval Index.

In addition to the 40% who Strongly Approve of Obama’s performance so far, another 12% Somewhat Approve. That brings his total approval to 52%, an unsurprising figure since the Democrat earned 52% of the vote on Tuesday night.

Isn't it a bit too hard to form an opinion after just two days.

You've somehow managed to map the next 4 yours.

"After you, the deluge"

Yawn.

No, I looked long term trends, not poll numbers.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Well this makes ChrisNJ look foolish, which is a surprise to no one.

Rasmussen's state polls were terrible and had a McCain lean. I was right.

[Gustaf]

Well this makes ChrisNJ look foolish, which is a surprise to no one.

Rasmussen's state polls were terrible and had a McCain lean. I was right.

They were not terrible and the supposed McCain lean was one of the smallest biases of all pollsters and obviously just random noise.

But how did Florida and West Virginia compare to national average again?

[Rowan]

Saturday, November 8, 2008
Strongly Approve 41%(nc)
Strongly Disapprove 29%(nc)

[Lief 🗽]

Yeah, Rasmussen was a major let down, in state polling at least, this election, and had a pretty noticeable Republican lean. Same with Mason-Dixon, except they were generally even worse.

[Ronnie]

Yeah, Rasmussen was a major let down, in state polling at least, this election, and had a pretty noticeable Republican lean. Same with Mason-Dixon, except they were generally even worse.

I disagree:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/final_rasmussen_poll_results_presidential_election