Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]

[Lief 🗽]

OBAMA SURGING TO AN INSURMOUNTABLE NATIONAL LEAD!

Yeah, and, when this poll was taken, Obama hadn't even won the primary/been endorsed by Clinton/united the party yet.

Hahaha, your candidate is pathetic.

[Lief 🗽]

Hahaha, your candidate is pathetic.

LOL

Here were are at a time when people are talking about an incredibly weak GOP and an almost unstoppable Obama and your candidate is only up two points. Which one is pathetic again?

Probably the one who struggles to raise $15 million a month fully 3 months after he won the nomination? Or the one who can barely manage a lead when his opponent's party is divided by a long and bitter primary? The one whose recent speech was completely out-done by the loser of the Democratic primaries, not to even mention the winner? Yeah.

[Lief 🗽]

Hahaha, your candidate is pathetic.

LOL

Here were are at a time when people are talking about an incredibly weak GOP and an almost unstoppable Obama and your candidate is only up two points. Which one is pathetic again?

Probably the one who struggles to raise $15 million a month fully 3 months after he won the nomination? Or the one who can barely manage a lead when his opponent's party is divided by a long and bitter primary? The one whose recent speech was completely out-done by the loser of the Democratic primaries, not to even mention the winner? Yeah.

Thanks for avoiding his point.

We're not going to win this election...Bush's approval is down to 25%....we are being outraised...and yet the race is tied?

Yep, at the absolute low point in Obama's campaign, he's still leading McCain. Congratulations.

[Lief 🗽]

Hahaha, your candidate is pathetic.

LOL

Here were are at a time when people are talking about an incredibly weak GOP and an almost unstoppable Obama and your candidate is only up two points. Which one is pathetic again?

Probably the one who struggles to raise $15 million a month fully 3 months after he won the nomination? Or the one who can barely manage a lead when his opponent's party is divided by a long and bitter primary? The one whose recent speech was completely out-done by the loser of the Democratic primaries, not to even mention the winner? Yeah.

And...he's still only trailing by two points. Yeah. Thank you.

Hahaha, your candidate is pathetic.

LOL

Here were are at a time when people are talking about an incredibly weak GOP and an almost unstoppable Obama and your candidate is only up two points. Which one is pathetic again?

Probably the one who struggles to raise $15 million a month fully 3 months after he won the nomination? Or the one who can barely manage a lead when his opponent's party is divided by a long and bitter primary? The one whose recent speech was completely out-done by the loser of the Democratic primaries, not to even mention the winner? Yeah.

Thanks for avoiding his point.

We're not going to win this election...Bush's approval is down to 25%....we are being outraised...and yet the race is tied?

Yep, at the absolute low point in Obama's campaign, he's still leading McCain. Congratulations.

Absolute low point? The man just clinched the nomination.

...after this poll was released.

[Lief 🗽]

Tonight (Sunday), at 5:00 p.m. Eastern, Rasmussen Reports will release new polling data for South Carolina, and Texas. Additional state surveys will be released on Monday.

Awesome! South Carolina has had only one poll so far this year, and I've been wanting another one for a while now.

[Lief 🗽]

Gallup and Rasmussen both show the race settling into a 7-8 point Obama lead, about the margin I expect Obama to win by come November.

[Lief 🗽]

Wednesday - July 23, 2008

Obama: 47% (+1)
McCain: 45% (-1)

So when McCain leads by two points in national polling, can we say that he has a chance at MN, OR, WA and ME?

No, because he won't.

[Lief 🗽]

Obama's travel bounce has caused him to have an insurmountable lead over McCain

John McCain is always at his best when he's trailing by an insurmountable margin.

You know, people say that, and yet, he still lost by a fair bit in 2000 against Bush, and he really only won this year because all his competition 1) self-destructed by themselves or 2) split the conservative vote allowing him to win with a bare plurality.

[Lief 🗽]

Yay Montana!

[Lief 🗽]

Those favorability ratings are troublesome news for Obama.

Not really, since Democrats have a significant numbers advantage. A lot of "independents" are just embarrassed Republicans anyway.

[Lief 🗽]

I wish Rasmussen would poll Indiana.

[Lief 🗽]

Nice.

[Lief 🗽]

Had the RNC already happened by this point in 2004?

[Lief 🗽]

Is the first time Obama's been above 50% in the Rasmussen tracking?

lolpalin

[Lief 🗽]

Rasmussen polls in the evening (as far as I know).

[Lief 🗽]

Could be worse. Obama is still ahead, after all.

[Lief 🗽]

If McCain can't get ahead of Obama through the RNC, which should hypothetically be the high point of a candidate's campaign, then I just don't see him winning, short of something majorly changing the dynamics of the race (which is pretty much out of McCain's control).

[Lief 🗽]

If McCain can't get ahead of Obama through the RNC, which should hypothetically be the high point of a candidate's campaign, then I just don't see him winning, short of something majorly changing the dynamics of the race (which is pretty much out of McCain's control).

Rasmussen hasn't even polled the race ahead of the Palin speech yet.  Hold your horses.

Yes they have: today and yesterday's releases.

[Lief 🗽]

People do not want a good speaker. They want actual content in the speeches.

Yes, which is why Obama's speech was better.

[Lief 🗽]

Brittain and Lief are examples of those who think Obama has content. They will stick with him.

It won't stick, because many do not believe it is content.

It's why the July bounce dropped quickly.

Obama's speech had more concrete policy proposals than the entire Republican convention.

[Lief 🗽]

Good. Things should start settling down now.

[Lief 🗽]

Damn why you guys hatin' on walmart. When I need cheap sh**t that's exactly where I go. Or target...same sh**t.

The funniest thing just happened. My father began his sentence "Let me tell you...that f***ing Wal-Mart is amazing"...and went on to say that "I bought you a candy bar and picked up Hot Dogs and buns...the hot dogs and buns cost less than the candy bar."

$0.57 cents for a pack of eight hot dogs...that costs less than a milk chocolate Hershey bar.

Damn stuff must be cheap out in Ohio. I don't know what you guys complain about so much.

Yup.

That said, Costco pwns Wal-Mart, for many reasons, one being that zoning laws mean that there are only two Wal-Marts within half an hour driving.

Yes for a family Costco is the obvious place to go. And you get free lunch to boot. For single people target or walmart is better.

Anecdotal observation, at least where I live, leads me to believe that lower-class people shop at Wal-Mart, while Costco is more of a upper-middle class store. Target is for hipster white people and poor Hispanic/Black people. I don't really understand why.

[Lief 🗽]

There's probably a reason why we're not supposed to see the one day samples.

[Lief 🗽]

OH, PA, and WV!!!

[Lief 🗽]

Nate Silver('s model) agrees with Sam. O +2.9