Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]

[Iosif]

If you agree, then what are you complaining about?

No-one's advocating meeting Bin Laden, the argument is over to meet with people like Adjeminihad etc.

See, but I put Adjeminihad in the same category as Osama.

Ahmadinejad is a democratically elected leader of a sovereign country. He's ahead of the Saudis in the pecking order, yet the President has no problem holding their hands.

[Iosif]

If you agree, then what are you complaining about?

No-one's advocating meeting Bin Laden, the argument is over to meet with people like Adjeminihad etc.

See, but I put Adjeminihad in the same category as Osama.

Ahmadinejad is a democratically elected leader of a sovereign country. He's ahead of the Saudis in the pecking order, yet the President has no problem holding their hands.

Democratically elected? Well, in the same way Robert Mugabe is "democratically elected", I guess. The democratic credentials of a race where a special group of unelected theocrats get to determine who runs are suspicious. Additionally, there were several reports of fraud in favor of Ahmadinezhad.

We could discuss the level of democracy in Iran until we're both blue in the face. The fact is Iran is a lot more democratic than a whole sting of American allies in the Middle East, the leaders of which the President has no problem meeting.

[Iosif]

I see the Palin bounce has kicked in.

[Iosif]

While there isn't a weekend Obama bounce in Rasmussen, there might have been something related to Gustav.  You had 4 Republican states (probably close to 10% of the US population) where there was a lot evacuations due to to Gustav; that alone could account for it.

I doubt more than 1% of the country's population (3 million) evacuated their homes, and certainly no more than 2%.

You also have phone lines down, people away from their phones getting supplies, people not responding because they are watch hurricane coverage.  Part of that is why M-D won't poll FL after a hurricane.  If we should get one in the NE, you might see an Obama drop (and we might).

I think you're clutching at straws.

[Iosif]

Rasmussen has been hugely stable.  It doesn't swing a lot.  There is no midweek/weekend bounce. 

Right now, it is a tie.

Mensa are so lucky to have you as a memeber.

[Iosif]

Rasmussen has been hugely stable.  It doesn't swing a lot.  There is no midweek/weekend bounce. 

Right now, it is a tie.

Mensa are so lucky to have you as a memeber.

Yes, and very fortunately, you cannot get it.

You mean, he "cannot get in"?

No, double meaning.

Please, Gustav, he's helping to illustrate a point. 

You're a retard.

There's only one meaning in that.

[Iosif]

Some big poll numbers will be released tonight from Rasmussen:

At 6:00 p.m. Eastern, new state polling will be released for Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia.

Well, he's going realease polls from these states every Monday now I think. I expect pretty much all of them to move slightly more toward McCain as compared to where they were last week.

Dear god, Phil is going to get annoying if we get a PA poll where they are tied or something.

Phil is very adamant in the case of PA falling to McCain this time, but I still think he underestimates the stubborness of the depressing steel working towns that, along with the inner cities, help tilt PA to the dems.

The ground game is mixed in Phila, and the White areas look less strong than they should.  I'll wait until 6:00 PM (and still probably won't make up my mind).

What would you be making your mind up about exactly anyway?

How, I'm going to call the state.  I have PA as a tossup.

We're all on tenterhooks.

By the way, is competence in grammar not a prerequisite to get into Mensa?

[Iosif]

A whole bunch of numbers could fit the pattern.

[Iosif]

Sunday - September 21,2008
Obama 48% (nc)
McCain 47% (nc)

[Iosif]

BORING!

Why are Rasmussen's numbers so rigid?

[Iosif]

I assume yesterday's polling was prior to the debate, yes?

[Iosif]

Tomorrow's state polls should be fun.

If Obama's not up in Ohio and Florida now he'll never be.

[Iosif]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Cleary the most volatile race ever.

[Iosif]

When did Republicans start concerning themselves with facts?

[Iosif]

When did Republicans start concerning themselves with facts?

Do we have any left wing posters here under 1000k posts who aren't trolls?

A million posts?

[Iosif]

Obama 50 (nc)
McCain 45 (nc)

[Iosif]

Friday October 17
Obama 50 (nc)
McCain 46 (nc)

Must have been a better day for Obama.

[Iosif]

It's now a month since McCain last led in Rasmussen's tracking poll.

[Iosif]

You're sounding increasingly bitter Zarn.

[Iosif]

You're sounding increasingly bitter Zarn.

No, that's your imaginiation (it's very hard to tell emotion on an online forum, isn't it?) ... or maybe McCain's bitterness carried on to his supporters and makes them cling to their guns and religion.

Very, very bitter.

It's a bit ironic really. I remember when Republicans called the Democrats bitter for their rabid and often unjustified anti-Bush rants over the past 8 years. Now it's the other way round.

[Iosif]

It's using a position of trust in a dishonest way. That's the actual definition.

And it is 'you guys.'

You're sounding increasingly bitter Zarn.

No, that's your imaginiation (it's very hard to tell emotion on an online forum, isn't it?) ... or maybe McCain's bitterness carried on to his supporters and makes them cling to their guns and religion.

Very, very bitter.

It's a bit ironic really. I remember when Republicans called the Democrats bitter for their rabid and often unjustified anti-Bush rants over the past 8 years. Now it's the other way round.

I don't think you're following me.

I'm following you just fine.

[Iosif]

Saturday 25th October
Obama 52 (nc)
McCain 44 (-1)

This equals Obama's biggest lead in Rasmussen.

[Iosif]

Must've been a good Obama sample, probably by 8.

[Iosif]

A good McCain sample drops off tomorrow, Obama should gain a point or two.

[Iosif]

I believe it's +6, +6, +3 or there abouts.

Which makes the PA poll today even more confusing. PA 2% more Republican than the national average? Really?

Even if McCain somehow miraculously pulls in PA, he still needs to hold all of FL, NC, MO, IN and NV. Somehow I don't see that happening.

CO and VA are gone for him.