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  Which metro areas will Obama carry the suburbs of? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which metro areas will Obama carry the suburbs of?  (Read 25718 times)
Torie
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Samoa


« on: June 05, 2008, 07:33:13 pm »

Working class suburbs in LA will vote for Obama. How is the San fernando valley classified because it will vote for Obama too.

The San Fernando Valley is part of the city of LA. The number of GOP towns in LA county is getting shockingly thin (so many old GOP standbys of my relative  youth, like South Pasadena, Glendale, Arcadia, Whittier, Long Beach, the beach cities,  are gone, gone, gone, sob!), but if you define LA suburbs as including Orange County, and Riverside and San Bernadino Counties, then the GOP is in the hunt to carry it overall.
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Torie
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Samoa


« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2008, 07:56:03 pm »

Chicago

The home state bounce might be enough to push Obama over the top, but I think Bush carried every county in the Chicago metro other than Cook, though I'm not sure how the Cook County suburbs voted.

Kerry won the Cook County suburbs:

Kerry 594,928 (58.9%)
Bush 407,867 (40.4%)
Other 6,942 (0.7%)

Bush's margin in the collar counties was only a little over 100,000, about half than what he needed, and less than he'll likely need in 2008.

The demise of the Republican in the Chicago suburbs over the past 15 years or so has just been shocking. If someone has predicted 15 years ago what in fact happened, I would have thought they were some Dem hack on crack.
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Torie
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Samoa


« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2008, 09:18:03 pm »

He'll win the Bay Area ones, LA County LA suburbs.

Bush was slaughtered in both, so I think your opinion here is well, incontrovertible. Sad
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