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  Which metro areas will Obama carry the suburbs of? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which metro areas will Obama carry the suburbs of?  (Read 25710 times)
TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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Posts: 10,494


« on: April 28, 2009, 12:51:42 am »

The Philly 'burbs are questionable.

Another terrific J.J prediction. Keep it up, bro!

Gotta admit, that one was funny as hell.  Montgomery, PA= Obama+20.8, Delaware, PA= Obama+21.4, Chester, PA=Obama+9.2 (Dems last win was LBJ in 1964), Bucks, PA= Obama+8.6, Burlington, NJ= Obama+18.6, Camden, NJ(def went for BO minus Camden city)=Obama+36.1, Gloucester, NJ=Obama+12.1.  Of those Bucks probably has the highest element of urban white populism so that result kinda made sense.   
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,494


« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2009, 05:25:39 pm »

The funny thing is, based on the stuff he was saying at the time he probably had basically only the primary results in mind when he made that statement. He frequently said Obama was in big trouble in Montco.

I wish you could pull up a quote.  WOW, if anything I thought Montco was gonna be his saving grace, not like he even needed it.  I was afraid of a racial backlash coming from South and to an extent Northeast Philly.  Initial polls were not looking good in these areas for Obama pre-economic collapse.  There was one South Philly Ward leader where Kerry won with 71% saying he'd be lucky to see Obama pull 50% and another in a Ward in the Northeast say he'd be lucky to pull 1/3 of the vote pre-collapse (Obama actually won by 17 in that Ward).
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