Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain] (user search)
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  Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain] (search mode)
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Author Topic: Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]  (Read 300050 times)
Meeker
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« on: September 01, 2008, 12:07:24 PM »

Monday - September 1st, 2008

Obama - 49% (+1)
McCain - 43% (+1)
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Meeker
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« Reply #1 on: September 04, 2008, 12:07:15 PM »

Lieberman and Thompson were apparently very helpful.
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Meeker
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2008, 12:05:47 PM »
« Edited: October 01, 2008, 12:07:30 PM by PPTE Meeker »

Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Obama 48% (-1)
McCain 44% (+1)



Very interesting...
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2008, 12:05:38 PM »

Smiley
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2008, 12:13:46 PM »

Outstanding.
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Meeker
meekermariner
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Posts: 14,164


« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2008, 12:03:36 PM »
« Edited: October 29, 2008, 12:07:01 PM by PPTE Meeker »

Wednesday, October 29th, 2008

RV
Obama: 51% (+1)
McCain: 42% (-1)

LV (Expanded)
Obama: 51% (nc)
McCain: 44% (nc)

LV (Traditional)
Obama: 49%
McCain: 46% (-1)


"Tightening", my ass...
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2008, 12:06:40 PM »


I suppose a few punctuation marks might've been helpful.
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Meeker
meekermariner
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Posts: 14,164


« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2008, 12:31:28 PM »

Wednesday, October 29th, 2008

RV
Obama: 51% (+1)
McCain: 42% (-1)

LV (Expanded)
Obama: 51% (nc)
McCain: 44% (nc)

LV (Traditional)
Obama: 49%
McCain: 46% (-1)


for McCain to win, this is what the final Gallup poll would have to look like, IMO:

RV
Obama: 49%
McCain: 44%

LV (Expanded)
Obama: 49%
McCain: 46%

LV (Traditional)
Obama: 48%
McCain: 47%

At this point McCain would probably need to be ahead by at least 2 or 3 points in the traditional voter model to account for early voting.
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2008, 01:24:15 PM »

At this point McCain would probably need to be ahead by at least 2 or 3 points in the traditional voter model to account for early voting.

that brings up a question:  don't these polls query those who have already voted early?

Good point. I had been subconsciously assuming they weren't when I made that statement, but they very well might be.
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2008, 02:34:22 PM »

We're still trying to get volunteers for Election Day in our offices here in Washington - why the hell would we stop trying to find more?
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2008, 08:21:36 PM »

We're still trying to get volunteers for Election Day in our offices here in Washington - why the hell would we stop trying to find more?

Meeker, did you send out an urgent e-mail this morning to get them?

We did last night.
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