Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]

[Vsanto5]

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What controversy?  I want to know what you are talking about because I really don't know how you came up with that retort.

[Vsanto5]

I don't feel ganged up on.  But yes I' am.  The earliest garfields are the best, the fattest garfield, and the slimmer garfield.  Besides my giant sig, why do you ask?

 I think what goes on in people's lives are what is going to drive them to the polls, and which candidate they feel will address their concerns the best.  Not a controversy ,which Reagan never had to deal with.

 I still think that Obama needs Hillary to pull in all the Democrats and then you will see the bounce that should be attributed to left leaning results in the summertime.

[Vsanto5]

Why are Gallup and Rassmussen opposites?  It seems when Rasmussen has Obama ahead Gallup has him tied or really close.  When Gallup goes +3 Rasmussen is -1.

[Vsanto5]

Hmm, I must say I am baffled how his lead didn't grow with Saturday polling included.

Because, for the second time, you are ignoring natural volatility/bad sampling, and assuming that this is a flat-lined race with Obama spikes on weekends.  Also, consider rounding; it's possible, maybe likely (tendency toward the mean) that the previous result was a "weak" +5.

There may have been a higher than normal sample for Obama midweek?

Yesterday's Rasmussen poll seems to be the opposite.  If that is the case than McCain is in serious trouble.  It always seems the Rasmussen and Gallup polls are opposite of each other since earlier in the summer Rassmussen had Obama ahead and Gallup had the race closer, now Rassmussen has the race closer and Gallup has Obama outside the margin of error or within a reasonable prediction.

[Vsanto5]

If this is somehow an indication of undecided voters deciding a candidate it could prove lethal for McSame.  Plus the hurricane is going to sway some viewers from watching the RNC especially Florida voters. 

[Vsanto5]

I forgot that Florida voters are completely unaffected by Hurricanes unless its barreling their way. LOL

But I know people there really dont
get fazed as much by hurricanes as in Texas. We get like freaked out by such phenomenon.

[Vsanto5]

Honestly its about time McCain lead in Gallup since May, but I think most people that said I'am voting for this guy is just to pay tribute to his service in Vietnam not to actually vote for him come November.  I think most Americans would say what is on their minds that day. 

I mean if Hillary was against McCain, I still think McCain would see a huge bounce from his convention.

[Vsanto5]

Has to do with the economy, probably.

I concur.