Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Political Matrix E: -2.71, S: -5.22
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« on: June 08, 2008, 05:33:25 AM » |
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I'm going to pick 10 states at random: Give me your predicted results and your expected national result.
Kansas: M: 56 O: 42 Oregon: O: 53 M: 46 Minnesota: O: 53 M: 46 Florida: M: 52 O: 46 South Carolina: M: 56 O: 42 Maine: O: 53 M: 46 Mississippi: M: 55 O: 42 Missouri: M: 49 O: 48 Montana: M: 54 O: 45 Nevada: M: 49 O: 49
I'm expecting a narrow EV win with Obama winning around the same margin as Bush in 2004 - with a wider popular vote margin, thanks to big margins in the "liberal" states.
51.9% - 47.1%
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