We've had a lot of state by states.... let's do this one too!
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  We've had a lot of state by states.... let's do this one too!
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Author Topic: We've had a lot of state by states.... let's do this one too!  (Read 460 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


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E: -2.71, S: -5.22

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« on: June 08, 2008, 05:33:25 AM »

I'm going to pick 10 states at random: Give me your predicted results and your expected national result.

Kansas: M: 56 O: 42
Oregon: O: 53 M: 46
Minnesota: O: 53 M: 46
Florida: M: 52 O: 46
South Carolina: M: 56 O: 42
Maine: O: 53 M: 46
Mississippi: M: 55 O: 42
Missouri: M: 49 O: 48
Montana: M: 54 O: 45
Nevada: M: 49 O: 49

I'm expecting a narrow EV win with Obama winning around the same margin as Bush in 2004 - with a wider popular vote margin, thanks to big margins in the "liberal" states.

51.9% - 47.1%

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SPQR
italian-boy
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Posts: 1,705
Italy


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E: -3.48, S: -3.30

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« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2008, 05:37:50 AM »

Kansas: M: 56 O: 42
Oregon: O: 55 M: 44
Minnesota: O: 53 M: 46
Florida: M: 52 O: 46
South Carolina: M: 56 O: 42
Maine: O: 54 M: 45
Mississippi: M: 56 O: 43
Missouri: M: 51 O: 48
Montana: M: 54 O: 45
Nevada: O: 51 O: 48
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