Hispanics becoming the next Irish and Italians?

[Red Wall]

Once they assimilated, immigration ceases to be a hot button issue and they start to align with their views in their original countries. The most conservative dem in the House being the main overperformer tells it all.
https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1334930385264926729?s=19

How far will the hispanic R trend go? Future swing demo like Italians and irish?

[Blue3]

First, you should treat them by nationality, not as a monolith.

[It’s so Joever]

The predominantly Mexican and possibly Central American ones in major cities such as LA, Phoenix, and Las Vegas? Yes probably. I would say such a shift was inevitable though, especially due to current trends outside of ethnicity.

The Tejanos, Nuevomexicanos, commie bedwetter/enablers, other Hispanic Caribbeans, Afro-Hispanics, Mexicans/C.A. Latinos in rural areas and South Americans? Not really. Some of those groups will vote or swing R for other reasons, but not in the same vein as Irish and Italians did.

[wallace48]

Maybe. I think Democrats definitely overestimate how much salience immigration can have with some Hispanic voters. One interesting trend I've noticed looking at some historical data is that Bush in 92' only declined a little bit with Hispanic voters (and even improved in some places like the RGV and heavily hispanic parts of South Florida) while doing a lot worse with white voters, while many of Clinton's biggest gains in 96' were in heavily Hispanic areas. Along with Obama's famous improvement with Hispanics in 2012, I wonder if this is an important trend to take note of, although I do think it's that Trump 2016 was the floor for the GOP with Hispanic voters and whoever their nominee is in 2024 will do a decent bit better.