Ultimate Prediction Thread
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Author Topic: Ultimate Prediction Thread  (Read 6505 times)
Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #25 on: June 08, 2008, 09:40:34 PM »
Wouldn't it be fascinating if this happened?

What an election that would have been.

McCain                270 EV 50% PV
Obama                268 EV 50% PV
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #26 on: June 08, 2008, 09:42:18 PM »
Quote from: Nelson Rockefeller on June 08, 2008, 09:40:34 PM
Wouldn't it be fascinating if this happened?

What an election that would have been.

McCain                270 EV 50% PV
Obama                268 EV 50% PV



Looks normal to me. Sometimes I wish we had red and blue like it is in the media on this site.
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GPORTER
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« Reply #27 on: June 08, 2008, 10:00:07 PM »


McCain/Romney: 279 electoral votes
Obama/Webb: 259 electoral votes
270 needed to win
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Ronnie
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« Reply #28 on: June 08, 2008, 10:02:55 PM »
Quote from: AHDuke99 on June 08, 2008, 09:42:18 PM
Quote from: Nelson Rockefeller on June 08, 2008, 09:40:34 PM
Wouldn't it be fascinating if this happened?

What an election that would have been.

McCain                270 EV 50% PV
Obama                268 EV 50% PV



Looks normal to me. Sometimes I wish we had red and blue like it is in the media on this site.

Yeah, I get mixed up sometimes, when I have to switch the colors in my mind.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #29 on: June 08, 2008, 10:15:05 PM »


Obama: 341EV : PV 52%
McCain: 197EV: PV 40%
Barr: 0EV: PV 6%
Other: 0EV: PV 2%
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #30 on: June 08, 2008, 10:15:43 PM »
Quote from: Josh22 on June 08, 2008, 10:15:05 PM


Obama: 341EV : PV 52%
McCain: 197EV: PV 40%
Barr: 0EV: PV 6%
Other: 0EV: PV 2%

Classic. Goldmine. Material. Thank you.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #31 on: June 08, 2008, 10:19:02 PM »
Quote from: President Keystone Phil on June 08, 2008, 10:15:43 PM
Quote from: Josh22 on June 08, 2008, 10:15:05 PM


Obama: 341EV : PV 52%
McCain: 197EV: PV 40%
Barr: 0EV: PV 6%
Other: 0EV: PV 2%

Classic. Goldmine. Material. Thank you.

We can add that to another example in which someone believes Obama can win North Dakota.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #32 on: June 08, 2008, 10:19:34 PM »
Quote from: Josh22 on June 08, 2008, 10:15:05 PM


Obama: 341EV : PV 52%
McCain: 197EV: PV 40%
Barr: 0EV: PV 6%
Other: 0EV: PV 2%

North Dakota?  North Carolina? 

Please give me a good reason why Obama will win both of those states...
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
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« Reply #33 on: June 08, 2008, 10:22:22 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on June 08, 2008, 10:19:34 PM
Quote from: Josh22 on June 08, 2008, 10:15:05 PM


Obama: 341EV : PV 52%
McCain: 197EV: PV 40%
Barr: 0EV: PV 6%
Other: 0EV: PV 2%

North Dakota?  North Carolina? 

Please give me a good reason why Obama will win both of those states...




Please note CD-1 in Nebraska and almost winning Montana. Barr will also get 6% nationwide, becoming almost as successful as Perot in 1996.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #34 on: June 08, 2008, 10:44:38 PM »

Obama: 309 EC      50.6% PV
McCain: 229 EC      46.2%
Barr: 0 EC               2.4%
Others:                   0.8%

Virginia and Missouri are the closest states in this result.
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Albus Dumbledore
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« Reply #35 on: June 08, 2008, 10:48:06 PM »
Aren't these meant to be realistic? Huh
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #36 on: June 08, 2008, 10:59:07 PM »
Quote from: President Keystone Phil on June 08, 2008, 08:53:36 PM
Quote from: Fmr. Chairman, Fmr. Governor, & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on June 08, 2008, 08:34:19 PM

McCain/Romney (the only reason I gave MA to McCain) 319 57%
Obama/??? 219 41%
Others 3%

Ok, I'm assuming you're joking. The map was somewhat reasonable (with the exception of MA, which I was about to address) but once I saw 57% to 41%...unless you meant 51% to 47%.

That's what I meant - thank you.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #37 on: June 08, 2008, 11:03:39 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Chairman, Fmr. Governor, & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on June 08, 2008, 10:59:07 PM
Quote from: President Keystone Phil on June 08, 2008, 08:53:36 PM
Quote from: Fmr. Chairman, Fmr. Governor, & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on June 08, 2008, 08:34:19 PM

McCain/Romney (the only reason I gave MA to McCain) 319 57%
Obama/??? 219 41%
Others 3%

Ok, I'm assuming you're joking. The map was somewhat reasonable (with the exception of MA, which I was about to address) but once I saw 57% to 41%...unless you meant 51% to 47%.

That's what I meant - thank you.

But still...winning MA? Even if Romney was still popular there (which he isn't), we're not winning MA.
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ottermax
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« Reply #38 on: June 08, 2008, 11:40:08 PM »
I like that my map is "hackish" when I clearly explained how I decided it. It's what I think the map will be like in November.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #39 on: June 08, 2008, 11:41:49 PM »
Quote from: ottermax on June 08, 2008, 11:40:08 PM
I like that my map is "hackish" when I clearly explained how I decided it. It's what I think the map will be like in November.

Uh, we all think that our map will be the way it is in November. How does that "clearly explain" your reasoning?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #40 on: June 08, 2008, 11:51:16 PM »
Honestly, why do people think North Dakota will be a nail biter this election cycle? It was over 60% for Bush 4 years ago. Why on earth would it jump that far left in 4 years?
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Albus Dumbledore
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« Reply #41 on: June 08, 2008, 11:54:43 PM »
Quote from: AHDuke99 on June 08, 2008, 11:51:16 PM
Honestly, why do people think North Dakota will be a nail biter this election cycle? It was over 60% for Bush 4 years ago. Why on earth would it jump that far left in 4 years?
Obama is polling well there so they extrapolate it to the general election. If he lucks out and gets a large margin(10-20%) he could pull off South Dakota which last time I checked was more liberal than North Dakota.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #42 on: June 09, 2008, 12:12:05 AM »
Quote from: Havelock Vetinari on June 08, 2008, 11:54:43 PM
Quote from: AHDuke99 on June 08, 2008, 11:51:16 PM
Honestly, why do people think North Dakota will be a nail biter this election cycle? It was over 60% for Bush 4 years ago. Why on earth would it jump that far left in 4 years?
Obama is polling well there so they extrapolate it to the general election. If he lucks out and gets a large margin(10-20%) he could pull off South Dakota which last time I checked was more liberal than North Dakota.

10-20% what? Margin of victory? Are you people insane?
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JohnCA246
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« Reply #43 on: June 09, 2008, 12:40:45 AM »
« Edited: June 09, 2008, 12:45:50 AM by mokbubble »
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JohnCA246
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« Reply #44 on: June 09, 2008, 12:47:32 AM »


anyone know what Im doing wrong and only one state is showing up?
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Albus Dumbledore
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« Reply #45 on: June 09, 2008, 01:06:23 AM »
Um, wow just wow.
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Robespierre's Jaw
Senator Conor Flynn
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« Reply #46 on: June 09, 2008, 02:00:06 AM »


Barack Obama/Joe Biden (D): 291 EV
John McCain/Mark Sanford (R): 247 EV
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12th Doctor
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« Reply #47 on: June 09, 2008, 02:27:36 AM »
Quote from: mokbubble on June 09, 2008, 12:47:32 AM


anyone know what Im doing wrong and only one state is showing up?

Yeah.  What you want to do is go to the electoral calculator.  When you are done go to "Show Map Link"... this is what I think you did wrong... Once the map link pops up, you want to copy... then hit the right arrow so it drags the cursor until the end of the link.  I have the same problem using Firefox... its a very long link.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #48 on: June 09, 2008, 03:35:09 AM »


Barack Obama: 51%, 298 EVs
John McCain: 48%, 240 EVs
Others: 1%
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #49 on: June 09, 2008, 08:19:06 AM »


I'll be generous to McCain, and will probably turn out wrong but I'll hope for the best! Tongue
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