Bush up +1 in new ARG poll
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Author Topic: Bush up +1 in new ARG poll  (Read 1704 times)
Hegemon
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« on: September 02, 2004, 10:41:34 AM »
American Research Group has released a new poll showing Bush leading Kerry 48%-47% among likely voters.   Among registered voters, Kerry is leading 48%-46%.  

The registered voter sample has a partisan breakdown of 37% Dem, 35% Rep, & 28% Ind.  There is no partisan breakdown publicly available for the likely voter sample.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/presballot/
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MODU
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« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2004, 10:43:20 AM »

Pretty good for Bush, coming from ARG.
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ATFFL
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2004, 10:49:26 AM »
ARG is not the best pollster and has a strong pull to the left, especially this cycle.

This is not good news for Kerry.  Espeically with the likely voter screen at about 80%.  There will not be 80% turnout in November.
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