Obama will probably take most of the Gore counties. The Kerry shutout was just a fluke. McCain is going to get, at most, 60% in Oklahoma. Currently, McCain is leading 52-38 which is low for Mac in my opinion, but about right for Obama.
Still, even though Obama will win roughly 10 counties give or take, it will still be a Bush-Gore sized blowout.
I like your prognosis Jeff. Besides, the macro-environment isn't as favorable for McCain in 2008 as it was for Bush in 2004. That said, I notice your economy was one of the better ones in terms of growth (4.0%) in 2007
In 2004, only 16% of Oklahoman's cited the economy as their most important issue (29% cited moral values; 20% terrorism) and they broke for Kerry 78/22
Dave
Poll
