IA Rasmussen: Obama leads by 10
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Author Topic: IA Rasmussen: Obama leads by 10  (Read 1704 times)
ChrisFromNJ
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« on: July 14, 2008, 03:52:50 PM »
« edited: July 14, 2008, 04:00:51 PM by New Deal Democrat »
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/iowa/election_2008_iowa_presidential_election

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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #1 on: July 14, 2008, 04:00:40 PM »
Added (with leaners).
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Flying Dog
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« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2008, 04:04:40 PM »
Good. McCain hasn't lead in one Iowa poll.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #3 on: July 14, 2008, 04:19:04 PM »
I don't get why Obama is kicking ass in all these states today (MI, IA, MN, SD) yet he's only leading in the Rasmussen national poll by 1% or 2%?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #4 on: July 14, 2008, 04:20:28 PM »
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on July 14, 2008, 04:19:04 PM
I don't get why Obama is kicking ass in all these states today (MI, IA, MN, SD) yet he's only leading in the Rasmussen national poll by 1% or 2%?

Summer polling.
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #5 on: July 14, 2008, 04:22:06 PM »
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on July 14, 2008, 04:19:04 PM
I don't get why Obama is kicking ass in all these states today (MI, IA, MN, SD) yet he's only leading in the Rasmussen national poll by 1% or 2%?

To be fair to Rasmussen, these polls are all from data collected on Thursday or Friday while the tracking poll covers Friday through Sunday. Although Obama's lead in the tracking poll on Friday was quite small as well (1 point w/o leaners, 2 points with).
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Aizen
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« Reply #6 on: July 14, 2008, 04:55:06 PM »
Iowa is a lost cause for the Republicans.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #7 on: July 14, 2008, 04:57:45 PM »
Quote from: Governor Duke, Dirty South on July 14, 2008, 04:20:28 PM
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on July 14, 2008, 04:19:04 PM
I don't get why Obama is kicking ass in all these states today (MI, IA, MN, SD) yet he's only leading in the Rasmussen national poll by 1% or 2%?

Summer polling.

Or strength in the Midwest states.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #8 on: July 14, 2008, 04:59:45 PM »
I'm very surprised McCain hasn't led in one poll here, yet
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Franzl
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« Reply #9 on: July 14, 2008, 05:00:28 PM »
Quote from: New Deal Democrat on July 14, 2008, 04:57:45 PM
Quote from: Governor Duke, Dirty South on July 14, 2008, 04:20:28 PM
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on July 14, 2008, 04:19:04 PM
I don't get why Obama is kicking ass in all these states today (MI, IA, MN, SD) yet he's only leading in the Rasmussen national poll by 1% or 2%?

Summer polling.

Or strength in the Midwest states.

no, that's not possible, and anyone that thinks that is drinking Obama kool-aid!
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #10 on: July 14, 2008, 05:37:21 PM »
Quote from: Aizen on July 14, 2008, 04:55:06 PM
Iowa is a lost cause for the Republicans.

Don't tell them that.  If they can spend money there, hoping to swing MN and IA, they won't be spending as much in VA, MI, PA, NM, and CO.
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #11 on: July 14, 2008, 06:28:27 PM »
Remember, McCain skipped the Iowa caucuses because he was doing so badly in Iowa.

Obama won the Democrat caucus in Iowa, while McCain came in fourth.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #12 on: July 14, 2008, 08:14:26 PM »
Smiley
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snowguy716
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« Reply #13 on: July 14, 2008, 09:09:19 PM »
Quote from: CARLHAYDEN on July 14, 2008, 06:28:27 PM
Remember, McCain skipped the Iowa caucuses because he was doing so badly in Iowa.

Obama won the Democratic caucus in Iowa, while McCain came in fourth.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #14 on: July 15, 2008, 12:11:29 AM »
It would be a miracle if McCain could turn around IA in the next 3 months. Now poll Indiana ...
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Vsanto5
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« Reply #15 on: July 15, 2008, 01:28:59 AM »
Good numbers so far, although I do agree that states like indiana, virginia, north carolina, Mississippi, Oregon, Arizona are not polled more frequently.
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Lunar
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« Reply #16 on: July 15, 2008, 02:14:27 AM »
« Edited: July 15, 2008, 02:16:57 AM by Lunar »
There's no way that Arizona's demographic growth (which has been a lot of OLD PEOPLE!) in the Democratic direction outweighs McCain's home-state advantage enough that the state could be 'in play' in 2008.  I disagree on that state needing more polling.

If the state was remotely interesting Obama would be including it in his, what, 17-19 state ad buy that included like 3 Kerry states from '04.  If North Dakota, Virginia, Alaska, Iowa, Colorado, Virginia, New Mexico, Montana, Nevada, Georgia, Ohio, Missouri, and Missouri are worthy of ads, I'm pretty sure Arizona would be included too if his people thought they had a chance of winning it.
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #17 on: July 15, 2008, 09:55:08 AM »
Quote from: Lunar on July 15, 2008, 02:14:27 AM
There's no way that Arizona's demographic growth (which has been a lot of OLD PEOPLE!) in the Democratic direction outweighs McCain's home-state advantage enough that the state could be 'in play' in 2008.  I disagree on that state needing more polling.

If the state was remotely interesting Obama would be including it in his, what, 17-19 state ad buy that included like 3 Kerry states from '04.  If North Dakota, Virginia, Alaska, Iowa, Colorado, Virginia, New Mexico, Montana, Nevada, Georgia, Ohio, Missouri, and Missouri are worthy of ads, I'm pretty sure Arizona would be included too if his people thought they had a chance of winning it.

Sorry Lunar, but the "old people" relocating to Arizona are largely above average income Republicans.

Look at places like Green Valley and Leisure World (McCain actually had a good joke about it a few years ago when he called it "seizure world").
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