JLT's House Predictions: Final Version, No For Real This Time (user search)
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  JLT's House Predictions: Final Version, No For Real This Time (search mode)
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Author Topic: JLT's House Predictions: Final Version, No For Real This Time  (Read 9930 times)
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« on: July 19, 2008, 02:59:22 PM »

The open seat in NJ-7 is held by Mike Ferguson, Scott Garrett is the incumbent in NJ-5
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« Reply #1 on: July 20, 2008, 08:00:19 AM »

Wow, NY-20 is much larger than I thought it was.  I vacationed in the northern section, very conservative, but those suburbs around Albany might be very liberal.  Anyone know the partisan breakdown?  BTW, there are some places in that district that are 4 hour drives apart from each other, pretty amazing for a state with congressional districts that last mere blocks.
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« Reply #2 on: July 20, 2008, 10:50:22 AM »

The most Democrat part of the CD is Columbia county; the Democrat-voting parts of Rensselaer   are in the 21st district. Elsewhere, Saratoga Springs has a large Democrat vote but is usually outvoted by the rest of Saratoga county, the north of Dutchess county has quite a few Democrats and while the part of Otsego in the district is mostly Republican it's not without Democrats either. But this is a district that is "supposed" to be held by a Republican. And was obviously drawn for that purpose.
Thank you

Never really thought of Saratoga as a Democratic area, would have picked the immediate suburbs of Albany if I had to guess.   Hopefully a GOP candidate can take it back in 2010
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