JLT's House Predictions: Final Version, No For Real This Time

[Spaghetti Cat]

You forgot nancy boydas seat.

[Spaghetti Cat]

Watch List

OR-05 (open seat held by Darlene Hooley - D)
CT-05 (Chris Murphy - D)
TX-23 (Ciro Rodriguez - D)
NH-01 (Paul Hodes - D)


Likely Democratic

AZ-05 (Harry Mitchell - D)
GA-08 (Jim Marshall - D)
IN-09 (Baron Hill - D)
CA-11 (Jerry McNerney - D)
MS-01 (Travis Childers - D)
KY-03 (John Yarmuth - D)
NY-20 (Kirsten Gillibrand - D)
IL-14 (Bill Foster - D)


Lean Democratic

NY-13 (open seat held by Vito Fossella - R)
WI-08 (Steve Kagen - D)
AZ-08 (Gabrielle Giffords - D)
PA-11 (Paul Kanjorski - D)
AL-05 (open seat held by Bud Cramer - D)
NY-25 (open seat held by J.T. Walsh - R)




Democratic-Leaning Tossup

AZ-01 (open seat held by Rick Renzi - R)
VA-11 (open seat held by Tom Davis - R)
PA-04 (Jason Altmire - D)
IL-11 (open seat held by Jerry Weller - R)
NH-01 (Carol Shea-Porter - D)
PA-10 (Chris Carney - D)



Pure Tossup
NJ-03 (open seat held by Jim Saxton - R)
Slight Dem tilt line
OH-15 (open seat held by Deb Pryce - R)
KS-02 (Nancy Boyda - D)
NJ-07 (open seat held by Mike Ferguson - R)
AK-AL (Don Young - R)
slight GOP tilt line
OH-16 (open seat held by Ralph Regula - R)
MN-03 (open seat held by Jim Ramstad - R)
FL-16 (Tim Mahoney - D)

Republican-Leaning Tossup

MI-07 (Tim Walberg - R)
NV-03 (Jon Porter - R)
WA-08 (Dave Reichert - R)
LA-06 (Don Cazayoux - D)
TX-22 (Nick Lampson - D)

Lean Republican

AL-02 (open seat held by Terry Everett - R)
NC-08 (Robin Hayes - R)
NY-29 (Randy Kuhl - R)
NM-01 (open seat held by Heather Wilson - R)
CT-04 (Chris Shays - R)
IL-10 (Mark Kirk - R)

Likely Republican

NY-26 (open seat held by Tom Reynolds - R)
CO-04 (Marilyn Musgrave - R)
CA-04 (open seat held by John Doolittle - R)
LA-04 (open seat held by Jim McCrery - R)
MI-09 (Joe Knollenberg - R)
MO-06 (Sam Graves - R)
OH-01 (Steve Chabot - R)
FL-24 (Tom Feeney - R)



Watch List

OH-02 (Jean Schmidt - R)
MO-09 (open seat held by Kenny Hulshof - R)
WY-AL (open seat held by Barbara Cubin - R)
ID-01 (Bill Sali - R)
MD-01 (open seat held by Wayne Gilchrest - R)
NM-02 (open seat held by Steve Pearce - R)


I've ordered them (for example, I see Bill Foster in more danger than Harry Mitchell)

[Spaghetti Cat]

New updated list
GOP Pickukps
Watch List

IN-09 (Baron Hill - D)


Likely Democratic

AZ-05 (Harry Mitchell - D)
GA-08 (Jim Marshall - D)
CA-11 (Jerry McNerney - D)
MS-01 (Travis Childers - D)
NY-20 (Kirsten Gillibrand - D)
PA-04 (Jason Altmire - D)



Lean Democratic

WI-08 (Steve Kagen - D)
AZ-08 (Gabrielle Giffords - D)
AL-05 (open seat held by Bud Cramer - D)
NY-25 (open seat held by J.T. Walsh - R)
PA-10 (Chris Carney - D)
PA-12 (John Murtha- D)
AK-AL (Don Young - R)
AZ-01 (open seat held by Rick Renzi - R)
VA-11 (open seat held by Tom Davis - R)
IL-11 (open seat held by Jerry Weller - R)
NJ-07 (open seat held by Mike Ferguson - R)
CO-04 (Marilyn Musgrave - R)
FL-24 (Tom Feeney - R)

Democratic-Leaning Tossup

OH-15 (open seat held by Deb Pryce - R)
NH-01 (Carol Shea-Porter - D)
MI-07 (Tim Walberg - R)
NC-08 (Robin Hayes - R)
NY-29 (Randy Kuhl - R)


Pure Tossup
MN-03 (open seat held by Jim Ramstad - R)
ID-01 (Bill Sali - R)
MI-09 (Joe Knollenberg - R)
Slight Dem tilt line
WA-08 (Dave Reichert - R)
NV-03 (Jon Porter - R)
NM-01 (open seat held by Heather Wilson - R)
CT-04 (Chris Shays - R)
FL-08 (Ric Keller- R)
IL-10 (Mark Kirk - R)
FL-21 (Lincoln Diaz-Balart- R)
PA-03 (Phil English- R)
OH-01 (Steve Chabot - R)
slight GOP tilt line
OH-16 (open seat held by Ralph Regula - R)
KS-02 (Nancy Boyda - D)



Republican-Leaning Tossup
NJ-03 (open seat held by Jim Saxton - R)
LA-06 (Don Cazayoux - D)
TX-22 (Nick Lampson - D)
PA-11 (Paul Kanjorski - D)
NY-26 (open seat held by Tom Reynolds - R)

Lean Republican
FL-16 (Tim Mahoney - D)
AL-02 (open seat held by Terry Everett - R)
CA-04 (open seat held by John Doolittle - R)
WY-AL (open seat held by Barbara Cubin - R)
MN-06 (Michele Bachmann- R)
MD-01 (open seat held by Wayne Gilchrest - R)
NM-02 (open seat held by Steve Pearce - R)
FL-25 (Mario Diaz-Balart- R)

Likely Republican

LA-04 (open seat held by Jim McCrery - R)
MO-06 (Sam Graves - R)
NV-02 (Dean Heller- R)



Watch List
OH-02 (Jean Schmidt - R)
MO-09 (open seat held by Kenny Hulshof - R)
FL-13 (Vern Buchanan- R)
Dem Pickups