New Rasmussen State Polls (CA, MN)

[lonestar]

Both of these polls were done August 27-September 3 (Likely Voters).

Minnesota:
Bush- 46%
Kerry- 46%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Minnesota%20Sept%205.htm

California:
Kerry- 50%
Bush- 42%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/California%20Sept%205.htm

[A18]

Yes! Good to see there's progress in Minnesota.

[ATFFL]

This is more of his usual state stuff.  Decent enough for tracking trends, but I would not bet the house on their accuracy.

[A18]

I agree, but I prefer a tie to a 3-point loss nonetheless.

[ATFFL]

I agree, but I prefer a tie to a 3-point loss nonetheless.

Like I said, decent enough for trends.  The gains show that there is a movement toward Bush across the nation.

He is getting better with his state polls, but still has a long, long way to go.

[The Vorlon]

Both of these results are based on a 7 day, not 31 day polling time frame

Minnesota

This telephone survey of 400 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from August 27 September 2, 2004.  The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence.

California

This  telephone survey of 608 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports from August 27-Sept 3, 2004.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Both are consistent with a +/- 3% National Bush lead

[Giant Saguaro]

Maybe the overall trend is as interesting, if not more so, than the numbers htemselves. MN was a difference of 2% in 2000, so it's likely to be close. This just confirms that. Bush has been chipping away at Kerry's lead in the Great Lakes states and anything is possible. GOP can win in MN, but it's still a long long shot.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

so at Bush's high point he's only tied in MN. he's not winning here.

[Lunar]

so at Bush's high point he's only tied in MN. he's not winning here.

I agree.  Just like at Kerry's high point he was showing decent numbers in states like Colorado.  This didn't mean that the state-national gap was closing, just that his national numbers had gone up.

Bush being tied in Minnesota and up 8 in California, should the polls be correct, shows Bush only being up 3 nationally.

[A18]

Woah, a 49% approval rating among California voters? Maybe I read the wrong...

[TheWildCard]

I must say I'm happy to see he's with-in 8 here... Unlikely to hold but hey.