Last night's Rassmussen poll results should thrill Democrats

[The Vorlon]

Kerry and Bush are now exactly tied in the Rasmussen track.  Even discarding a weird Saturday sample, Bush can't be up by much more than 2% in the Sunday and Monday samples.

For the little it is worth...

Kerry "won" the Sept 5th sample by 5.1%
Bush "won" the Sept 6th sample by 2.1%
Bush "won" the Sept 7th sample by 2.9%

There are unweighted results.

Taking my best guess at weighting effects I think Bush is up +/- 2.7% or so tomorrow

Polling over a holiday long weekend is always a real challenge.

Gallup as an example took 3 days of polling to get the same number of completed interviews they normally get in 2 days.

Granted, Gallup has really go protocols in place for callbacks and the like, so Gallup is likely more impacted than other pollsters... but it's still a good indication.


Let's see what Rasmussen has to say on say Thursday or so..

[Shira]

Still remember how good I felt when I saw Rasmussen's +8 when he released his final 2000 tracking at 1 AM the day of that election.  Boy, talk about a false sense of security.

Heh. I just found this (in retrospect) very funny article written just before the 2000 Election by Rasmussen:

http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=20112

Best quote:

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Yes, feel free to laugh at Scott Rasmussen...

The best one in my view was:
"For those of you who are worried that you will have to stay up late to find out who will be our next president, don't be."