Detroit Free Press-Local 4 Michigan Poll
http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080821/NEWS15/308210001600 likely voters. Twelve percent are undecided and 3% support third-party candidates.
Obama 46%
McCain 39%
Undecided 12%
Other 3%
This is the first Free Press/Local 4 Michigan Poll on the presidential race since the candidates became the presumptive nominees. It was conducted Sunday through Wednesday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. It also shows:
• Obama leads 80%-13% among Detroit voters.
• Obama leads 45%-41% among voters in suburban Oakland and Macomb counties.
• McCain leads among white voters statewide, 46%-38%.
• Obama gets 92% of African Americans.
• McCain holds a 13-point lead among Catholic voters; Protestants are evenly split, although evangelicals favor McCain by 2-1.
• Among non-Christians, Obama leads 66%-13%.
• Third-party candidates Bob Barr and Ralph Nader have a negligible impact on the race, if anything hurting McCain more than Obama.
• Among first-time voters, Obama has a 2-1 edge.
Recent polling in other battleground states has not shown any clear trends. The averages of recent polls in Ohio, Florida, Virginia and Colorado show McCain with thin leads and Obama with the lead in Minnesota. Four polls taken in Michigan since mid-July show Obama with an average lead of 3.2 percentage points, according to the Web site Real Clear Politics.