Your prediction: Will the RNC be delayed?

[Eraserhead]

Yes, unfortunately. Gustav looks like a beast.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Option 3.

[Ebowed]

Bush and Cheney will get out of speaking.

[Alcon]

Man, that would be a logistical nightmare for the organizers and especially attendees.  I assume they'll try to avoid that like the plague.

[© tweed]

Bush and Cheney will get out of speaking.

plus Jindal (although that's less of a get-out)

[WalterMitty]

the important question is, if it is delayed, will it delay the much anticipated independent convention being held by 'mr. independent' lou dobbs? 

[Lunar]

Man, that would be a logistical nightmare for the organizers and especially attendees.  I assume they'll try to avoid that like the plague.

RNC + Hurricane = bad publicity

OR

Media coverage of why the RNC wanted to avoid the hurricane (bad publicity)=FAR worse publicity
RNC being delayed a week = major clusterfudge of organization.

[© tweed]

this is Mother Nature's revenge on the GOP for Katrina

[Alcon]

Man, that would be a logistical nightmare for the organizers and especially attendees.  I assume they'll try to avoid that like the plague.

RNC + Hurricane = bad publicity

OR

Media coverage of why the RNC wanted to avoid the hurricane (bad publicity)=FAR worse publicity
RNC being delayed a week = major clust of organization.

Yeah, it's lose/lose.  If they don't delay it, though, the media won't be PO'ed and scrambling for something to talk about during the dead air.  That could end up badly, and involve pictures of cakes.

I think that delaying it is both riskier, and more likely to be a really terrible idea.  It could be a better idea, but I don't think it's worth the gamble for the RNC.  I'm definitely open to hearing disagreeing arguments, if you have any.

[Eraserhead]

Man, that would be a logistical nightmare for the organizers and especially attendees.  I assume they'll try to avoid that like the plague.

Indeed, but it's also going to be a PR nightmare if they have it during this. This thing could hit as Cat. 4.

[Eraserhead]

If it isn't delayed, it should be interesting to see how the networks split up the coverage between the hurricane and the convention.

[Torie]

t appears that the storm will swing west of NO and pound the area Rita pounded again, which is that area which has no people. Poor Cameron County. The 200 folks living there will have to decamp again, and the foundations of former homes in Holly Beach will get wet again. It could hit Houston, but Houston is inland, and Galveston is a fortress. Plus it will only be a CAT 3. With any luck, this storm will fade as a big story. The high pressure zone appears to be tough enough to protect the Big Easy - this time.

[© tweed]

If it isn't delayed, it should be interesting to see how the networks split up the coverage between the hurricane and the convention.

split-screen.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Gustav won't be anywhere as big as Katrina. It's going to be bad for the area it hits, but that'll be rural Louisiana, New Orleans is quite to the east of it's expected landfall now. It probably has a better chance of making landfall in Texas than New Orleans.

[Vsanto5]

I predict a reform-minded convention, which is probably why people chose McCain in the primaries in the first place.

[cinyc]

The show must go on, albeit much more muted.  Governors Jindal and Barbour certainly won't make it up to Saint Paul if the storm remains on course.

Hopefully, lessons have been learned since Katrina.  If the storm directly hits New Orleans and the initial response isn't the basket case it was three years ago, it certainly won't hurt that the governor is a Republican, not a Democrat like the last time.

[Robespierre's Jaw]

The Republican National Convention will still be held in St. Paul. However I do expect the likes of Governors Bobby Jindal, Haley Barbour, Robert Riley, etc to be absent from the Convention. If Governor Jindal is indeed absent from the Convention, who gets the Keynote Address? That's if Governor Jindal has the Keynote, I surely hope he does not.

[Alcon]

The show must go on, albeit much more muted.  Governors Jindal and Barbour certainly won't make it up to Saint Paul if the storm remains on course.

Hopefully, lessons have been learned since Katrina.  If the storm directly hits New Orleans and the initial response isn't the basket case it was three years ago, it certainly won't hurt that the governor is a Republican, not a Democrat like the last time.

Blanco is still the Governor?

[cinyc]

The show must go on, albeit much more muted.  Governors Jindal and Barbour certainly won't make it up to Saint Paul if the storm remains on course.

Hopefully, lessons have been learned since Katrina.  If the storm directly hits New Orleans and the initial response isn't the basket case it was three years ago, it certainly won't hurt that the governor is a Republican, not a Democrat like the last time.

Blanco is still the Governor?

Governor Blanco's been out office since January 14.  Governor Jindal is a Republican.

[Alcon]

The show must go on, albeit much more muted.  Governors Jindal and Barbour certainly won't make it up to Saint Paul if the storm remains on course.

Hopefully, lessons have been learned since Katrina.  If the storm directly hits New Orleans and the initial response isn't the basket case it was three years ago, it certainly won't hurt that the governor is a Republican, not a Democrat like the last time.

Blanco is still the Governor?

Governor Blanco's been out office since January 14.  Governor Jindal is a Republican.

Oh, wow, I totally misread your post.  Sorry