ICR New Poll - Bush - 48.2, Kerry 47.3 (user search)
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  ICR New Poll - Bush - 48.2, Kerry 47.3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ICR New Poll - Bush - 48.2, Kerry 47.3  (Read 5979 times)
mddem2004
Jr. Member
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Posts: 561


Political Matrix
E: -6.38, S: -4.00

« on: September 08, 2004, 04:37:19 PM »

As for the Bush Bouce - "What goes up, must come down...."

http://www.icrsurvey.com/ICRInTheNews/Presidential_Tracker_0907.html
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mddem2004
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 561


Political Matrix
E: -6.38, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: September 08, 2004, 09:20:13 PM »

Lets take a quick peek at their last poll.

http://www.icrsurvey.com/ICRInTheNews/Presidential_Tracker.html

They had Bush at 45.3% and Kerry at 48%.  Bush is now at 48.2%.  They call this a 2 point bounce.  Either they are bad at math, have a really strict rounding error, or intentionally tried to lowball the bounce in their report.

Also, we all pretty much agree that Bush was not down nearly 3% heading into his convention.  He was up between 1 and 3% in Vorlon's rolling poll average.

WIthout seeing the internals I will wager they have a too high proportion of democrats.

Also, this poll was done as part of their omnibus marketing research.  Their respondents got asked political questions in the middle of being asked a lot of marketing research questions.

Mddem, I did not expect you to get this desperate for good news for Kerry.
Nice Poke Tredrick Smiley  
 I don't know anything about this firm other than their last poll in August seemed reasonable. I was just surprised that nobody saw this one out there before I.

Nahhh.....No worries here (YET)! Bush I say is probably up by 3% in the real world - That ain't a huge lead by any measure......
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