It would be the first time since 1992 in which either Nassau or Suffolk county NY voted Red rather than blue. Traditionally, moderate republicans and white collar voters would carry the island for the republicans but local corruption and influx of minorities have hurt the GOP here over the past 10 yrs, along with the conservative movement of the party.
Bush came close to winning Suffolk in 04. The latest Rasmussen poll has Obama leading 55-42%, still well out in front and in no peril of losing the state, but he may win only the boroughs, Albany, and a few counties upstate, similar to maps of 1988 and 1976.
Interesting also to note that McCain has the support right now of 20% of NY's democrats, but he loses 20% of republicans to Obama. Had he held onto more republicans, perhaps he would have a chance at actually making my state competitive again.
where on LI are you from?
