Hispanic vote in Georgia and Oklahoma

[PGSable]

According to CNN's exit poll data, Bush only won the Hispanic vote in three states: Florida, Georgia, and Oklahoma. Florida makes sense (the Cuban vote). But Bush won Georgia Hispanics by 13%, and Oklahoma Hispanics by 48% (while winning Oklahoma whites by "only" 42%).

Is there any reason for this, besides the high margin of error for small subsamples (4% in both Georgia and Oklahoma)?

[Associate Justice PiT]

     High margin of error in small subsamples. It's really as simple as that.

[PGSable]

Thanks. I thought there might have been something more to it.

[phk]

I think there might be some Cubans in Georgia.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     One has to wonder how much of a factor though. There's also the issue of Oklahoma.

[Alcon]

It's kind of hard to tell voter composition for Hispanics, because I imagine the vast majority of Hispanics in Georgia are ineligible to be registered.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Interesting, little-known fact: nearly 40% of US Hispanics are Protestant. Of those, the majority are evangelical, and I would suspect they'd be more likely to support Republicans. Just a thought.

[phk]

Interesting, little-known fact: nearly 40% of US Hispanics are Protestant. Of those, the majority are evangelical, and I would suspect they'd be more likely to support Republicans. Just a thought.

Which Hispanic nationalities are most likely to convert? Mexican-Americans?

I know like ~4 Mexican-American Mormons who are originally from Fresno County. About half went to Provo; BYU for school since.

I think conversions from Catholicism to Mormonism would have a GOP effect.

[phk]

     One has to wonder how much of a factor though. There's also the issue of Oklahoma.

My guess is that OK's Hispanics are probably more evangelical than average.

[Bacon King]

Lots of evangelical hispanics in Georgia too.

[phk]

Higher % of Cubans + Evangelical Hispanics (assuming Mexicans are most likely to convert) + Zell Miller effect and thus you get Georgia Hispanics for Bush.