Mitt Romney v. Sarah Palin

[King]

This would be a close race.

DISCUSS WITH MAPS... ELECTORAL MAPS!

[Smid]

Romney would pick up the normal democrat states, plus Utah and other states with a reasonable proportion of Mormon voters - Nevada, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming. He'd also win Michigan (if you don't include it under the "normal democrat states" statement), but would lose Iowa.

Palin would win big in the South and in Alaska. Evangelicals would deliver her those states.

I imagine it would look something like this:

Palin (Blue): 263
Romney (Green): 275

MD is close. Recounting for weeks and weeks and whoever wins it wins the election, although I'd lean toward Romney winning it. Democrats grudgingly vote Romney to prevent Palin from winning.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Romney red, Palin blue.

In a General Election:

In a Republican primary:

[Robespierre's Jaw]

I assume this is the 2008 version of Willard, not the 1994 version of Willard, who is claimed by many as the only Republican to ever give Senator Edward Kennedy a run for his money for his Senate seat? If it is indeed the 2008 version of Willard, I would expect Romney to narrowly defeat Governor Palin. However, I would expect there would be a record low turnout due to the candidates being Romney and Palin, yet there would be an increase in the evangelical vote, thanks in part to Governor Palin stimulating the conservative Republican base, in particular the infamous Religious Right. If it was the 1994 version of Willard he would win and do so comfortably, though not by epic proportions.

[exopolitician]

Neither. My soul would implode in on itself.

[Lief 🗽]

A Romney v. Palin primary would be interesting.

[True Democrat]

Ugh.

I still hate Romney more than Palin.

[big bad fab]

A Romney v. Palin primary would be interesting.

Just wait for 4 years

[big bad fab]

Of course, it could be a Romney landslide (mainstream Dems, independents, liberal and moderate GOP, business and fiscal conservatives). But, apart from social conservatives and evengelicals, there would be a "revolt" from popular Dems. So, let's say:

403 - 135

Palin would only be competitive with social conservatives, evangelicals and some blue white-collars (hence her good results in Appalachia, but also in Illinois, and short defeats in Ohio, Minnesota).

Palin would be trounced in North-East, in Rocky Mountains, in the West Coast and in Florida. She wouldn't be good with Latinos and business conservatives (hence, defeats in the South-West, including Texas, and in VA-NC).

Sure, a surprising map, but a very interesting one.

Maps from previous posts are far too optimistic for Palin. Romney is articulate, well organized, wealthy, etc. It would not be possible for Palin to win in big states like PA, OH, TX.
And, in IL, I think the "revolt" and sort of kamikaze votes from some Dems would be enough to have THE surprise of this "special" race.