Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 06, 2019, 05:32:50 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
  What will be the closest state this year, Part III
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Poll
Question: ...
#1
New Hampshire
 
#2
Pennsylvania
 
#3
Ohio
 
#4
Virginia
 
#5
North Carolina
 
#6
Florida
 
#7
Missouri
 
#8
Iowa
 
#9
Wisconsin
 
#10
Michigan
 
#11
Indiana
 
#12
Colorado
 
#13
New Mexico
 
#14
Nevada
 
#15
Other
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 68

Author Topic: What will be the closest state this year, Part III  (Read 10048 times)
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,349
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 01, 2008, 07:10:33 pm »

Our last winner was Colorado, which beat Virginia 18-15 out of 54 votes cast.

This time, like last time, I say Virginia.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,350


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2008, 07:13:03 pm »

Assuming an Obama victory, then the close states will be the 2nd tier of GOP swing states. I will go with NC
Logged
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,084
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2008, 10:08:08 pm »

NC, if Obama wins by the margin he is polling at right now.
Logged
big bad fab
filliatre
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,346
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2008, 04:45:40 am »

Surprisingly, NV, with Obama very narrowly ahead.

VA isn't any longer the tipping point state: it has swung already.
Logged
The Ex-Factor
xfactor99
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,068
Viet Nam


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2008, 07:44:52 am »

I thought I was being contrarian with picking Nevada but I guess everyone is thinking the same thing.
Logged
Worried Italian Progressive
italian-boy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,630
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2008, 11:32:12 am »

Nevada,with Obama winning by less than 1%.
Logged
Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,268


Political Matrix
E: -0.84, S: -3.04

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2008, 09:48:02 pm »

I still can't bring myself to think North Carolina of all places is a tossup/swingstate.
Logged
Saff
MATCHU[D]
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,662
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2008, 09:48:39 pm »

Virginia.
Logged
JSojourner
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,525
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.94

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2008, 09:45:55 am »

I still can't bring myself to think North Carolina of all places is a tossup/swingstate.

Me either.  I say Virginia.  Still.

Not to say NC won't be closer than it's been in years.  But tossup or lean Obama?  I have a hard time imagining that.  A lot of Yankees are moving to Charlotte but not THAT quickly.  Hell, it's taken Virginia 20 years to get to this point and it's still not a given...
Logged
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,084
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 03, 2008, 11:52:09 am »

I still can't bring myself to think North Carolina of all places is a tossup/swingstate.

Me either.  I say Virginia.  Still.

Not to say NC won't be closer than it's been in years.  But tossup or lean Obama?  I have a hard time imagining that.  A lot of Yankees are moving to Charlotte but not THAT quickly.  Hell, it's taken Virginia 20 years to get to this point and it's still not a given...

It's not just that, the bigger cities in North Carolina have became more open and free sprited about things. I mean just take Greensboro for example. Greensboro has a big GLBT population now, and people don't seem to care if you are  GLBT  anymore.
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 36,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2008, 02:11:16 pm »

voted NC, Indiana a close second
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 03, 2008, 03:23:19 pm »

Missourah, with Indiana a close second, and North Carolina in third.
Logged
Saff
MATCHU[D]
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,662
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 03, 2008, 03:27:23 pm »

Indiana.....really?
Logged
Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,221
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 03, 2008, 05:08:52 pm »

GA...Obama will win the PV by at least 9% and have at least 375 EV

this is going to get real ugly real fast.  I'd place McCain's chances of winning somewhere around 2%
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 36,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 03, 2008, 05:36:02 pm »

GA...Obama will win the PV by at least 9% and have at least 375 EV

this is going to get real ugly real fast.  I'd place McCain's chances of winning somewhere around 2%

at one point you had GWB's 2004 chances at 20%.  "what's that hissing sound?"
Logged
Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,839
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 03, 2008, 06:01:14 pm »

     Virginia. I expect Palin to galvanize theocons enough to keep it within 1%, though Obama will most likely win.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 38,044
Samoa


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 03, 2008, 09:02:20 pm »

It is going to be Missouri, as McCain loses the election by 5%. Just a wild guess.
Logged
Politico
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,862
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 04, 2008, 02:33:22 am »

If McCain does not reverse the trend, I think Indiana, Missouri or North Carolina will be the one. If things get back to the way they were two weeks ago, I think it will be Ohio or Florida. If Obama gets yet another bounce, I suspect that Montana, North Dakota or Georgia will be the one.
Logged
HardRCafé
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,367
Italy
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 04, 2008, 02:49:38 am »

If Obama gets yet another bounce, I suspect that Montana, North Dakota or Georgia will be the one.

Are you the one who advised Kucinich to stop being so centrist?
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 46,677


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 04, 2008, 02:53:55 am »

I'd say Ohio. I think Obama will win Kerry + IA + NM + CO + NV + VA. I'm not sure who will win OH. McCain wins the rest.
Logged
cannonia
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 960
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.42, S: -1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 04, 2008, 10:03:24 am »

I'm sticking with Missouri.
Logged
Јas
Jas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,304
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2008, 10:14:43 am »

I'm sticking with Ohio.
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,349
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2008, 06:10:48 pm »

Wow.  NV, VA and NC are tied for the lead; I sure wouldn't have predicted that back in June.
Logged
Ronnie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,865
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2008, 09:05:28 pm »

I honestly don't really care anymore, but I'm taking a wild stab in the dark and saying Florida.
Logged
opebo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47,059


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 10, 2008, 02:21:26 pm »

I voted Missouri, but it could just as easily be Indiana or North Carolina.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC