Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 11, 2017, 04:36:41 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2008 Elections
| | |-+  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
| | | |-+  What state's polling do you not believe? (10/1)
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Poll
Question: As of tright now, which state has the most inaccurate polling?
Ohio-slight Obama   -3 (5.8%)
Florida-slight Obama   -9 (17.3%)
Virginia-slight Obama   -1 (1.9%)
New Hampshire-slight Obama   -4 (7.7%)
Missouri-slight McCain   -5 (9.6%)
Indiana-slight McCain   -2 (3.8%)
North Carolina-tossup   -13 (25%)
Nevada-tossup   -5 (9.6%)
Colorado-tossup   -7 (13.5%)
Pennsylvania-solid Obama   -3 (5.8%)
New Mexico-solid Obama   -0 (0%)
Iowa-solid Obama   -0 (0%)
Michigan-solid Obama   -0 (0%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: What state's polling do you not believe? (10/1)  (Read 3626 times)
RJ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 672
View Profile
« on: October 01, 2008, 09:12:51 pm »
Ignore

These are the states that have been seriously contested this election season. I threw out Wisconsin, Montana and Minnesota.

If you're an Obama fan, it's probably a little difficult to actually believe it's as good as it's looking for him right now. If you favor McCain, it may not be as bad as it looks. Which state won't live up to the hype and be a bit of a surprise on election day? Which state is closer or further apart then polling is telling us? If things continue on their present course, chances are not an individual one of these states will decide this thing, but it might give the parties an idea of what to look for (or perhaps where to start.)
Logged

Economic Left/Right: -4.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.36
Mr.Phips
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5478


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2008, 09:15:02 pm »
Ignore

Probably Virginia.  I dont see how Obama has a lead that big in that state. 
Logged
○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 41832


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2008, 09:25:06 pm »
Ignore

North Carolina
Logged

??????????
StatesRights
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31213
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2008, 10:09:11 pm »
Ignore

Indiana or Virginia
Logged
big bad fab
filliatre
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13350
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: 4.87

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2008, 04:43:51 am »
Ignore

Colorado, because it's slight Obama, not toss-up !
Logged

Enjoy the French elections !
Enjoy polling analysis !
Enjoy my tracker !

http://sondages2017.wordpress.com/
Worried Italian Progressive
italian-boy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1530
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

View Profile
« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2008, 11:35:35 am »
Ignore

New Hampshire is not this close.
Logged
RJ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 672
View Profile
« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2008, 02:18:23 pm »
Ignore

Colorado, because it's slight Obama, not toss-up !

There was a poll there last week showing McCain with a slight lead. Also, Colorado hasn't moved as much in recent days as Ohio or Florida.
Logged

Economic Left/Right: -4.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.36
Northam for Governor '17
benconstine
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30478
United States


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2008, 05:31:47 pm »
Ignore

I'm gonna say FL right now.
Logged

Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
Robespierre's Jaw
Senator Conor Flynn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8186
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -8.35

View Profile
« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2008, 05:32:10 pm »
Ignore

Florida. I fail to understand how Obama's performing so well as he has in Florida, despite having unfavourable demographics. I believe on Election Night, that McCain should encounter for Obama by defeating him by five to six points.
Logged



Here's to the State of Richard Nixon

Some things are better left covered up.
TRIPLE ROCK
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 81315
Ukraine


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: October 02, 2008, 05:33:32 pm »
Ignore

Indiana
Logged

RJ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 672
View Profile
« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2008, 10:00:12 am »
Ignore

After seeing the most recent SUSA polls, I wish I put Minnesota on the list, now.
Logged

Economic Left/Right: -4.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -2.36
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40677
Dominica


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: October 03, 2008, 10:27:22 am »
Ignore

None of them. Obama is leading by 4-7 points nationally at the moment. He should be ahead in VA, OH, FL, CO and NV and close in MO, IN, and NC.
Logged

fuck nazis
JSojourner
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11540
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.94

View Profile
« Reply #12 on: October 03, 2008, 02:38:00 pm »
Ignore

North Carolina, followed by Indiana.
Logged

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 44475
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

View Profile
« Reply #13 on: October 03, 2008, 02:39:34 pm »
Ignore

Minnesota - McCain lead.
Logged
Punditty
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 72


View Profile WWW
« Reply #14 on: October 11, 2008, 09:11:28 pm »
Ignore

Colorado. If the voting rolls haven't been purged by 25 percent as RFK Jr. asserts, then Obama will win there along the lines of 51-46 with 3 percent for other.
Logged

Happy  Campaign 2012,

Punditty
http://www.allvoices.com/users/Punditty
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32121
United States


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: October 11, 2008, 09:29:05 pm »
Ignore

I do not believe Obama is doing better in PA than in NJ.

Seriously, does anyone believe that?
Logged

J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Dan the Roman
liberalrepublican
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1852
United States


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: October 11, 2008, 10:19:51 pm »
Ignore

I do not believe Obama is doing better in PA than in NJ.

Seriously, does anyone believe that?

I can believe that he is doing better given what we know about Jersey, but I can't imagine him actually doing better come November 4th. The undecideds in those two states are going in opposite directions.
Logged
Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30994
United States



View Profile
« Reply #17 on: October 11, 2008, 10:20:27 pm »
Ignore

If any:

North Carolina

Indiana's up there, Minnesota kinda too
Logged

n/c
Vice President PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27217
United States


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: October 12, 2008, 02:28:37 am »
Ignore

     Nevada. Given the demographic trends of the state, I can't believe that Obama is ahead by any less than ~5%.
Logged

MR maverick
MR politics
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 585
United States


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: October 12, 2008, 05:50:08 am »
Ignore

Ohio .. I don't see Obama being ahead atlest in terms of polling. Maybe some New young voters will make the difference on election night.
Logged

Sbane
sbane
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14416


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: October 12, 2008, 06:24:28 am »
Ignore

     Nevada. Given the demographic trends of the state, I can't believe that Obama is ahead by any less than ~5%.
Logged
perdedor
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2636
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -7.13

View Profile
« Reply #21 on: October 12, 2008, 09:20:23 pm »
Ignore

New Hampshire. Obama will win the state solidly.
Logged

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines