VA: SurveyUSA: Obama 53, McCain 43

[Thomas Jackson]

This poll is a joke.

Internals:

GOP 30
Dem 39
Ind 25

Even more LOL:

18-34 23%
35-49 35%   
50-64 25%
65+ 17%

[Thomas Jackson]

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2006 was as about as bad as it can get for Republicans is Virginia. Even then, Webb only barely managed to eke out a victory.

If we look at the Party Breakdown in 2006, we found:

Democrat 36%
Republican 39%
Independent 26%

So in a horrible year, it was still R+3.

The Survey USA poll has it D+9, that's an 11 point swing in 2 years.

No. It's not happening.

And No, Obama isn't leading in Central and Western Virginia either. That right there should tell you the poll is wacked.

[Thomas Jackson]

This poll, more than any others, has demonstrated to me that the pollsters are flat out playing games.

In 2004 Republicans had a +9 voter ID advantage.

In 2006, an absolutely horrible year for Republicans, it was still R+3. Even then, Webb only managed to eke out a victory by the smallest margin.

SurveyUSA wants us to believe that it's now D+9.

That's an 18 point swing from 2004, and an 11 point swing from 2006.

Uh, No.


I'm waiting for the real polls on November 4th. I'm out.