If Missouri falls...
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 08:51:27 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
  If Missouri falls...		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: If Missouri falls...  (Read 1938 times)
RJ
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 793
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 22, 2008, 09:25:41 PM »
What will be the next bellwether state???

It would have to be a state Bush43, Clinton, Bush41 and perhaps Reagan and beyond took every time they were elected. There are a lot of options, but the most likely right now is Nevada followed closely by Ohio.

Assuming Obama wins, the list will be very short. If McCain wins, forget I posted this.
Logged
HardRCafé
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,364
Italy
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2008, 09:28:31 PM »
If not Missouri, then Nevada.
Logged
muon2
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,800


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2008, 09:44:20 PM »
I'm not sure what defines "falls". Since MO has only failed to go with the winner once in the last 100 years, then I assume you mean what if MO goes with the loser. MO only missed the winner by 0.2 % in 1956, so if they are at least close, it would be hard to take away their bellwether status.
Logged
RJ
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 793
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2008, 09:51:57 PM »
Oh, I strictly am talking consecutive times to the winner.
Logged
elcorazon
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,402


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2008, 10:15:00 AM »
Ohio hasn't missed since 1960, when they went for Nixon.  Nevada missed in 1976.  Florida missed in 1992. Arkansas last missed in 1968.
Logged
mack
Newbie
*
Posts: 11
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2008, 07:24:02 PM »
I didn't know that!  But it looks like it'll probably be wrong this time.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.209 seconds with 11 queries.