New CA poll... (user search)
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  New CA poll... (search mode)
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Author Topic: New CA poll...  (Read 3633 times)
DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« on: February 21, 2004, 11:17:37 AM »

But a poll in CA shows Bush leading Edwards by 4% and trailing Kerry by 4%.  So which poll is accurate?

The one with the best result, of course... Wink
Lol...
But, remember, 4% is alot in CA, because of all the people that live there.

Not really...if the polls has a similar margin, the MoE is still the same...I'll have to think about whether it's easier or not to swing a certain percentage if the whole is bigger...it should depend on resources per voter.

And where the vote is coming from.
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DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #1 on: February 21, 2004, 11:18:59 AM »

But a poll in CA shows Bush leading Edwards by 4% and trailing Kerry by 4%.  So which poll is accurate?

The one with the best result, of course... Wink
Lol...
But, remember, 4% is alot in CA, because of all the people that live there.

Not really...if the polls has a similar margin, the MoE is still the same...I'll have to think about whether it's easier or not to swing a certain percentage if the whole is bigger...it should depend on resources per voter.

And where the vote is coming from.

Huh

By knowing where the vote is coming from you will know how much support each of the canidate will get.
Logged
DarthKosh
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 902


« Reply #2 on: February 21, 2004, 12:55:52 PM »

But a poll in CA shows Bush leading Edwards by 4% and trailing Kerry by 4%.  So which poll is accurate?

The one with the best result, of course... Wink
Lol...
But, remember, 4% is alot in CA, because of all the people that live there.

Not really...if the polls has a similar margin, the MoE is still the same...I'll have to think about whether it's easier or not to swing a certain percentage if the whole is bigger...it should depend on resources per voter.

And where the vote is coming from.

Huh

By knowing where the vote is coming from you will know how much support each of the canidate will get.

You mean if the poll was done the wrong way, sampling an unrepresentative portion of the electorate?
Could have happened.
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