New Florida Poll from Survey USA
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Author Topic: New Florida Poll from Survey USA  (Read 4894 times)
lonestar
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« on: September 14, 2004, 07:46:03 PM »

Hasn't even made it to the Survey USA website.
It was conducted September 12-14.  

George W. Bush- 51%
John F. Kerry-      45%

Vorlon, I'll be waiting for your analysis.  

http://www.firstcoastnews.com/news/survey/docs/FL040914pressen.pdf
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2004, 07:51:09 PM »

Based on their record, figure Bush 52-53, and Kerry 43-44.

Check on the detailed analysis of SUSA polls in the "New Survey USA polls" on this forum.
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Lunar
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« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2004, 07:53:29 PM »

SUSA being more likely to error on the side of Democrats is different from consistantly erroring on the side of the Democrats.  You can't simply add 2 to every number to set things right.  They often error on the side of Republicans too.
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2004, 07:56:49 PM »

That is true.

Please note that I said, "based on their record."

There is a second thread on this board on the subject started by Vorlon.

I agree with him that polling Florida at this time is very problematical.

I suspect the urban areas are probably overrepresented in the sample for the reason I stated on that thread.
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